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What will Trump say this week?
kalshi

What will Trump say this week?

Volume:
$1,828,630

Moon

 - Kalshi

Moon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Moon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$485,036
N/A
N/A
$401,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$158,351
N/A
N/A
$156,742
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$83,175
N/A
N/A
$81,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Who are you with / Where are you from

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,477
N/A
N/A
$50,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Melania

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,057
N/A
N/A
$49,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kamala

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,277
N/A
N/A
$46,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stupid Question

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,046
N/A
N/A
$45,461
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,819
N/A
N/A
$43,555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,001
N/A
N/A
$34,968
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Landslide

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,585
N/A
N/A
$31,102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,843
N/A
N/A
$31,843
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,468
N/A
N/A
$25,678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golf / Golfer / Golfing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,968
N/A
N/A
$22,290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,030
N/A
N/A
$15,029
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,273
N/A
N/A
$8,987
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128,654
N/A
N/A
$81,403
Settled
No
kalshi

Bibi / Netanyahu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,550
N/A
N/A
$58,296
Settled
No
kalshi

Rigged Election / Stolen Election

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,417
N/A
N/A
$43,618
Settled
No
kalshi

Cuba / Cuban

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,896
N/A
N/A
$40,763
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,302
N/A
N/A
$29,787
Settled
No
kalshi

Uranium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,274
N/A
N/A
$25,432
Settled
No
kalshi

Make Iran Great Again

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,647
N/A
N/A
$23,068
Settled
No
kalshi

Peace in the Middle East

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,021
N/A
N/A
$23,393
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,399
N/A
N/A
$18,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Third Term

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,702
N/A
N/A
$16,099
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say the word “Moon” in a public statement before September 7, 2026. Currently, the probability of this occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is based on whether Donald Trump states “Moon” after August 31, 2026 at 8:30am ET and before September 7, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Traders should particularly watch for any public appearances or social media posts by Trump leading up to the resolution date of September 7, 2026, as that marks the end of the betting period for this market.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple individual markets, each defined by a specific keyword or phrase that Donald Trump must utter between August 31, 2026, at 8:30am ET and September 7, 2026, at 12:00am ET. A market resolves to "Yes" if Trump uses the exact keyword, or any plural/possessive form of it, in a public statement, direct quote published by source agencies, or written public statement on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Keywords include names, political slogans, policy terms, and cultural references. Official acts such as executive orders or signed bills do not count toward resolution, nor do grammatical or tense inflections of the keywords. Each market operates independently, with resolution contingent solely on the utterance of its designated term within the specified period and format.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump statement market dashboard shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,063,862. It tracks how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements from Trump this week. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest market activity and sentiment within the Trump statement market.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of what Trump might say. Analysts may consider longer-term strategy and historical patterns, while traders react quickly to breaking news and polling shifts. The gap between this market and expert predictions can highlight areas where public perception diverges from institutional analysis.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch speeches, press conferences, and official statements from Trump this week to determine which outcome matches the market’s criteria.