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What will Trump say this week?
kalshi

What will Trump say this week?

Volume:
$1,664,079

Bibi / Netanyahu

 - Kalshi

Bibi / Netanyahu - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bibi / Netanyahu

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$327,251
N/A
N/A
$213,045
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$157,641
N/A
N/A
$156,451
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,836
N/A
N/A
$80,116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77,160
N/A
N/A
$75,490
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Windmill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,455
N/A
N/A
$59,923
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,295
N/A
N/A
$24,238
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Autopen / Auto Pen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,654
N/A
N/A
$51,954
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kamala

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,364
N/A
N/A
$53,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,400
N/A
N/A
$49,708
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cuba / Cuban

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,236
N/A
N/A
$30,968
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golf / Golfer / Golfing

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,892
N/A
N/A
$30,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Soleimani

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,419
N/A
N/A
$30,397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,288
N/A
N/A
$17,755
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,235
N/A
N/A
$22,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,944
N/A
N/A
$11,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,772
N/A
N/A
$13,404
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Landslide

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,009
N/A
N/A
$14,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,970
N/A
N/A
$11,899
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karoline / Leavitt

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,613
N/A
N/A
$5,886
Settled
Yes
kalshi

JD / Vance

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,337
N/A
N/A
$92,611
Settled
No
kalshi

Rigged Election / Stolen Election

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,057
N/A
N/A
$49,698
Settled
No
kalshi

Stupid Question

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,452
N/A
N/A
$48,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,745
N/A
N/A
$42,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Who are you with / Where are you from

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,301
N/A
N/A
$31,022
Settled
No
kalshi

Peace in the Middle East

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,999
N/A
N/A
$24,476
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention "Bibi / Netanyahu" in his public statements between August 10th, 2026 at 8:00am ET and August 17th, 2026 at 12:00am ET on Kalshi, resolving based on actual statements made within that window. The current probability of the leading outcome is 99.0%. The specific catalyst to watch for is Trump’s statements during the betting period ending on August 17, 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Donald Trump uses any of the specified phrases — including singular, plural, or possessive forms — in public statements, direct quotes from source agencies, or written posts on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social) between August 10th, 2026 at 8:00am ET and August 17th, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Official government actions such as executive orders or signed legislation do not count. Each phrase must appear exactly as specified, though grammatical tense variations are permitted. For phrases containing slashes (e.g., "Bibi/Netanyahu"), either component satisfies the requirement. All instances must occur after the market issuance date.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump statement market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $912,038. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements from Trump this week, with total volume at $1,664,079. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity on this single venue.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or contrarian view. Analysts may focus on polling trends and historical patterns, while traders react to immediate news cycles, perceived momentum, and media coverage. The gap between analyst expectations and market odds can widen during periods of high uncertainty or breaking news, making this market a useful barometer of real-time trader sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closely for any statements made by Trump during the specified period, and the market will settle based on whether those statements match the defined outcomes. The exact wording and timing of public reports determine the final result.

Media coverage of Trump's upcoming speaking engagements, social media posts, and interviews are key signals that could move this market. Any indication of a planned theme, repeated phrase, or policy emphasis from Trump’s team may shift trader expectations. Additionally, reactions from political opponents, polling updates, and breaking news around the time of his statements can cause rapid price adjustments leading up to Aug 17, 2026.