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What will Trump say this week?
kalshi

What will Trump say this week?

Volume:
$2,202,087

Kamala

 - Kalshi

Kamala - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kamala

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$329,761
N/A
N/A
$327,580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202,971
N/A
N/A
$201,101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139,370
N/A
N/A
$137,850
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Squalor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,105
N/A
N/A
$134,883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golf / Golfer / Golfing

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$132,543
N/A
N/A
$69,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rigged Election / Stolen Election

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,619
N/A
N/A
$71,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,321
N/A
N/A
$59,198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Melania

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,082
N/A
N/A
$58,574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Landslide

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,981
N/A
N/A
$59,390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,994
N/A
N/A
$42,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,331
N/A
N/A
$38,043
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,065
N/A
N/A
$28,236
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Windmill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,766
N/A
N/A
$20,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,436
N/A
N/A
$19,546
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,178
N/A
N/A
$11,912
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,695
N/A
N/A
$4,461
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Who are you with / Where are you from

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,978
N/A
N/A
$3,372
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$190,407
N/A
N/A
$113,847
Settled
No
kalshi

Bibi / Netanyahu

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$137,681
N/A
N/A
$86,079
Settled
No
kalshi

Stupid Question

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,307
N/A
N/A
$57,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,714
N/A
N/A
$29,042
Settled
No
kalshi

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,226
N/A
N/A
$27,758
Settled
No
kalshi

Uranium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,634
N/A
N/A
$24,051
Settled
No
kalshi

Cuba / Cuban

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,635
N/A
N/A
$22,351
Settled
No
kalshi

Peace in the Middle East

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,758
N/A
N/A
$24,278
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention the word "Kamala" in any public statement before August 10, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that he will say it is 99.0%, with resolution based on Trump's direct quotes in speeches, social media posts, or published interviews. The key date to watch is August 10, 2026, the deadline for Trump to make the statement for the market to resolve.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Donald Trump uses any of the specified phrases—such as names, political terms, or topical references—in public statements, direct quotes from source agencies, or written posts on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social) before August 10, 2026. The phrases must appear in their exact form, or as plural/possessive variations, and cannot stem from official acts like executive orders or signed legislation. Grammatical variations (e.g., tense changes) are excluded, and for terms connected by slashes (e.g., "Doge/Dogecoin"), either option satisfies the condition. All instances must occur after the market's issuance date to count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $828,781 for the Trump statement market. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of different statements from Trump this week, updated continuously throughout the trading period. The view reflects only Kalshi’s market activity, with volume totaling $2,202,087 so far.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or short-term view of Trump’s likely statements. Analysts may focus on broader trends or policy positions, while traders in this market react quickly to news cycles, polling shifts, and rhetorical cues. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably from traditional forecasts, especially when unexpected events arise that influence trader sentiment in the near term.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch Trump’s public appearances, speeches, and official statements throughout the week; the specific wording and context used will determine which outcome matches the market’s criteria. The process relies on publicly available information for validation.

Market movement will likely follow Trump’s scheduled speeches, media interviews, and social media posts, especially when he addresses topics covered by the outcome categories. Breaking news, poll releases, and reactions from political opponents or allies could also shift trader expectations. Any surprise remarks or policy announcements are likely to cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities before Aug 10, 2026.