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402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

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2,632

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What will Trump say in August?
kalshi
polymarket

What will Trump say in August?

Volume:
$184,967

At least 2

 - Kalshi

At least 2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,336
N/A
N/A
$8,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,021
N/A
N/A
$13,975
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,166
N/A
N/A
$3,500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 4

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,009
N/A
N/A
$3,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,619
N/A
N/A
$4,914
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ass

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gay

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

No No No

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Six Seven

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$3,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$3,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Through the Roof

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Slob

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Midterm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Future President

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pelosi

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.9¢
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

World Cup

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

American Dream

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marxist

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

State of the Union / State of Union

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dictionary

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crooked Joe

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Soaking Wet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sucker

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
9.9¢
N/A
$11,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 7

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,489
N/A
N/A
$6,132
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This event group tracks whether Donald Trump will utter specific phrases during August 2026. The markets cover a wide range of phrases from political terminology to casual expressions, with resolution based on recorded verbal mentions during the specified timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use identical verbal mention criteria with consistent time windows and exclusion rules for written content and out-of-timeframe videosPrimary resolution logic: Publicly accessible audio/video recordings verified through trusted media archives

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution requires verified verbal mention in audio/video recordings
  • Timeframe is strictly August 1-31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET to 11:59 PM ET
  • Written content (Truth Social, statements) does not count
  • Videos filmed outside timeframe cannot be used for resolution

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Multi-word phrases: Entire phrase must be spoken consecutively to count (e.g., State of the Union must be said as complete phrase)
  • Partial matches: Partial phrase matches (e.g., saying only Union when the full phrase is State of the Union) do not count
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 31, 2026, once all potential mentions have been verified through media archivesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of presidential actions published on the "Presidential Actions" tab of whitehouse.gov by 10:00 AM ET on August 9, 2026, covering the period from August 2 to August 8, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from 1 to 15 actions, that must be met for the market to resolve to Yes. Actions include proclamations, executive orders, nominations, appointments, and memoranda. The resolution depends solely on the publication dates displayed on the website, and any action not listed on the "Presidential Actions" tab by the specified time does not count, regardless of when it was signed or emitted. Examples clarify that only actions officially published by the deadline count, while those emailed, backdated, or listed in other sections do not contribute to the tally.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Trump August statement market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time odds and volume for this prediction. It displays the current consensus and trading trends from different platforms, helping users monitor how the market evolves. With a total volume of $184,967 and 24-hour volume of $21,379, it offers a snapshot of collective investor sentiment toward what former President Trump might say during August.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before it closes. High-impact media interviews, scheduled speeches, or surprise announcements from advisors may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader political developments—such as polling shifts or policy debates—might affect expectations about what is likely to be said in August. Keep an eye on both formal events and informal commentary that gains traction online.