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Politics
What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?
polymarket

What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?

Volume:
$76,638

Job 20+ times

 - Polymarket

Job 20+ times - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Job 20+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hell 7+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$4,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Death Tax

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Egg

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$3,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Landslide

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
6.6¢
N/A
$2,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fuel

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Soybean

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Percent 13+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$2,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Border 7+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Big Beautiful Bill

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Iran 5+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Iowa

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Child

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

President Xi

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Drug

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nuclear 3+ times

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$16,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Corn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Six Seven

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Surplus

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scam

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Wisconsin on June 5, 2026 (https://www.weau.com/2026/06/01/president-trump-coming-chippewa-county-friday-source-says/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks during events in Wisconsin scheduled for June 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about remarks in Wisconsin on June 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets on Polymarket price Trump's Wisconsin speech outcomes based on trader expectations, which often diverge from traditional polling. Polls typically measure voter sentiment or stated preferences on broad political topics, whereas this market focuses on a specific linguistic outcome—the frequency of a particular word during live events. Prediction markets incorporate real-time information, betting incentives, and expert input, making them a distinct signal. The current odds reflect traders' collective assessment of Trump's speech patterns, independent of conventional polling data on Wisconsin political attitudes.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution depends on whether Trump's statements during Wisconsin events meet the specific criteria outlined in the market conditions. Traders should monitor the exact event dates and any official clarifications about which Wisconsin appearances count toward the resolution. Once the relevant events conclude, the outcome is determined and the market settles accordingly, with winning positions paid out based on the final result.

Key catalysts include Trump's actual Wisconsin campaign events and public appearances, which directly test whether he uses the specified word at the predicted frequency. Recent speech transcripts or video clips from similar events could shift trader expectations about his rhetoric patterns. Changes to the scheduled Wisconsin event calendar, cancellations, or additions would alter the scope of what counts toward resolution. Media coverage analyzing Trump's typical word usage and betting activity from informed traders responding to new information will also influence odds as the resolution date approaches.