TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:31 PM EST
Polymarket
Trump is scheduled to deliver a tribute to Lindsey Graham in the Washington National Cathedral on July 28, 2026 at 2 PM ET (https://wng.org/sift/graham-funeral-1784738206). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the tribute scheduled for July 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's tribute to Lindsey Graham in the Washington National Cathedral, scheduled for July 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Trump is scheduled to deliver a tribute to Lindsey Graham in the Washington National Cathedral on July 28, 2026 at 2 PM ET (https://wng.org/sift/graham-funeral-1784738206). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the tribute scheduled for July 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's tribute to Lindsey Graham in the Washington National Cathedral, scheduled for July 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
On Polymarket, odds for the Trump Graham tribute market reflect trader sentiment rather than traditional polling data. While polls may show public opinion trends, this market captures real-time betting dynamics influenced by recent news, statements, and media coverage. Traders often react faster to breaking developments than pollsters can survey, which can create divergence between market prices and polling averages. The current chance percentage on Polymarket may therefore appear higher or lower than poll results, depending on how traders interpret upcoming events and speech content clues before Jul 28, 2026.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through continuous bidding, with the top outcome’s implied probability shown as a percentage. The current pricing reflects collective expectations about what Trump will say during the tribute, influenced by recent political rhetoric, media speculation, and any pre-event indicators. Volume of $319,745 and 24-hour volume of $260,062 show trader interest, while the chance percentage offers a snapshot of market sentiment ahead of the event’s resolution around Jul 28, 2026.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact wording and context of Trump’s tribute will be analyzed to match the defined outcome categories, closing the market based on publicly available transcripts, recordings, and news coverage.
Market movement will likely be driven by any public statements from Trump or close advisors ahead of the tribute, media speculation about themes he may emphasize, and reactions from political commentators. Surprise guest appearances, shifting political dynamics, or breaking news on Graham’s legacy could also cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket as traders reposition.