TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Trump say during The Secure America Act signing?
kalshi

What will Trump say during The Secure America Act signing?

Volume:
$645,305

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

 - Kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 12:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,304
N/A
N/A
$44,366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,235
N/A
N/A
$14,194
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,858
N/A
N/A
$14,460
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,753
N/A
N/A
$10,362
Settled
Yes
kalshi

World Cup

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,614
N/A
N/A
$9,846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cartel

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,433
N/A
N/A
$7,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

250

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,719
N/A
N/A
$7,684
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fentanyl

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,409
N/A
N/A
$9,117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,071
N/A
N/A
$7,045
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mexico / Mexican

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,004
N/A
N/A
$6,689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,829
N/A
N/A
$6,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deal / Settle

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,821
N/A
N/A
$8,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,419
N/A
N/A
$6,170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,340
N/A
N/A
$8,539
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,960
N/A
N/A
$6,741
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,119
N/A
N/A
$5,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mental Institution

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,630
N/A
N/A
$7,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,402
N/A
N/A
$4,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,341
N/A
N/A
$4,421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

First Term

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,157
N/A
N/A
$3,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Markwayne / Mullin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,217
N/A
N/A
$3,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Radical Left

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,674
N/A
N/A
$2,539
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,110
N/A
N/A
$64,317
Settled
No
kalshi

Autopen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79,213
N/A
N/A
$75,991
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,633
N/A
N/A
$30,698
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention any of several specific keywords or phrases while publicly signing the Secure America Act as President. The event hinges on Trump's actual remarks during the bill-signing ceremony, with the market resolving affirmatively if he references topics ranging from political opponents and immigration enforcement to economic concerns and international relations.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or media commentary. While political analysts may rely on historical speech patterns or policy priorities, prediction markets incorporate live information, breaking news, and collective intelligence from many participants. For The Secure America Act signing, market odds may shift rapidly if new details about the event emerge or if Trump's recent public statements suggest particular talking points. Comparing market prices to expert predictions can reveal where consensus differs and highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability that specific statements or phrases will be mentioned during the signing. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1 percent probability. The market price adjusts based on order flow and new information about the event timing, Trump's recent rhetoric, or legislative details. Kalshi's continuous order book allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time prices throughout the trading period until resolution.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Trump's statements during The Secure America Act signing match the specific outcome criteria defined for each contract option. The signing event itself will be the primary source for determining what was actually said, and resolution will depend on verified records of the ceremony. Traders should monitor official announcements and credible media coverage of the signing to understand how outcomes will be adjudicated.

Several catalysts could shift market odds before resolution. Changes to the bill's final language or legislative amendments may signal different policy priorities Trump will emphasize. Public statements or interviews from Trump, congressional leaders, or administration officials about the bill's importance could hint at his signing-day messaging. Unexpected political developments, economic data, or national security events might alter the context for his remarks. Media speculation about what Trump plans to highlight, combined with historical patterns of his signing ceremonies, will influence trader positioning. Any delay or rescheduling of the signing event itself would also impact market expectations.