TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 12:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention any of several specific keywords or phrases while publicly signing the Secure America Act as President. The event hinges on Trump's actual remarks during the bill-signing ceremony, with the market resolving affirmatively if he references topics ranging from political opponents and immigration enforcement to economic concerns and international relations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability that specific statements or phrases will be mentioned during the signing. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1 percent probability. The market price adjusts based on order flow and new information about the event timing, Trump's recent rhetoric, or legislative details. Kalshi's continuous order book allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time prices throughout the trading period until resolution.
The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Trump's statements during The Secure America Act signing match the specific outcome criteria defined for each contract option. The signing event itself will be the primary source for determining what was actually said, and resolution will depend on verified records of the ceremony. Traders should monitor official announcements and credible media coverage of the signing to understand how outcomes will be adjudicated.
Several catalysts could shift market odds before resolution. Changes to the bill's final language or legislative amendments may signal different policy priorities Trump will emphasize. Public statements or interviews from Trump, congressional leaders, or administration officials about the bill's importance could hint at his signing-day messaging. Unexpected political developments, economic data, or national security events might alter the context for his remarks. Media speculation about what Trump plans to highlight, combined with historical patterns of his signing ceremonies, will influence trader positioning. Any delay or rescheduling of the signing event itself would also impact market expectations.