TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention AI or Artificial Intelligence during his official visit hosting the Los Angeles Dodgers as the 2025 World Series Champions on Kalshi, with the current probability set at 99.0%. The resolution will be determined by Trump's actual remarks during the event. The speech is scheduled to be closely monitored for specific phrases, with the market set to resolve by August 7, 2026, following the conclusion of the event.
The event involves Donald Trump delivering an official address while hosting the Los Angeles Dodgers as the 2025 World Series Champions. Markets resolve based on whether Trump utters specific exact phrases during this official, televised speech. Video and official transcripts serve as primary evidence, with markets closing only if Trump speaks in an official capacity. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to proceed normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the visit, statements made by Trump will be reviewed against the defined outcome categories. The result is determined by matching the actual remarks to the market’s contractual specifications, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Key signals that could shift this market include major polls showing changes in public opinion, statements from Trump or his team about the visit’s focus, media coverage anticipating certain topics, and any last-minute political developments. Each of these can influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds rapidly as the event approaches. Staying alert to political news and polling trends is essential for tracking potential market movement.