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What will Trump say during Sunday Night in America?
kalshi

What will Trump say during Sunday Night in America?

Volume:
$751,110

Transgender

 - Kalshi

Transgender - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 10:12 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100,514
N/A
N/A
$83,202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71,055
N/A
N/A
$58,578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,398
N/A
N/A
$27,833
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,261
N/A
N/A
$32,017
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,300
N/A
N/A
$32,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,914
N/A
N/A
$24,484
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NASA / Space

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,750
N/A
N/A
$12,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,096
N/A
N/A
$11,727
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,646
N/A
N/A
$8,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,370
N/A
N/A
$8,745
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,042
N/A
N/A
$7,857
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,944
N/A
N/A
$7,101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,608
N/A
N/A
$6,734
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,027
N/A
N/A
$7,125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Big Beautiful Bill

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,496
N/A
N/A
$6,781
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,919
N/A
N/A
$48,454
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,282
N/A
N/A
$43,930
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,346
N/A
N/A
$39,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,425
N/A
N/A
$24,060
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,738
N/A
N/A
$20,141
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,553
N/A
N/A
$20,887
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,879
N/A
N/A
$14,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,919
N/A
N/A
$14,707
Settled
No
kalshi

Save America Act

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,712
N/A
N/A
$14,275
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,645
N/A
N/A
$13,943
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say specific phrases during the Fox News broadcast Sunday Night in America. On Kalshi, the current probability that he will say Negotiate, Negotiated, or Negotiation is 99.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the transcript of the show. Watch for the broadcast on September 14, 2026, as this is when the market will close and the resolution will be determined.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during the live broadcast of Fox News: Sunday Night in America. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (including variations like plural forms or alternative wordings indicated by slashes). The exact wording must match, excluding grammatical or tense variations. The broadcast is the sole source for validation; unaired content, archival footage, or off-mic remarks do not count. Resolution relies first on live video review by Kalshi employees, with official transcripts used as a fallback if consensus cannot be reached. If the program is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market wins, and all others lose. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s price reflects collective trader sentiment, adjusted for market depth and recent trading volume. This dynamic pricing mechanism updates continuously based on new information and participant activity.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on exact wording and context from the broadcast, as analyzed against the market’s defined criteria. Traders should watch for official transcripts or reputable media summaries shortly after the program concludes.