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What will Trump say during remarks in North Carolina?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will Trump say during remarks in North Carolina?

Volume:
$1,544,161

Deport / Deported / Deportation

 - Kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 9:20 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,616
N/A
N/A
$49,245
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Sanctuary

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,402
N/A
N/A
$35,190
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,175
N/A
N/A
$47,003
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Dividend / Stimulus

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,159
N/A
N/A
$31,237
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

FEMA

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,605
N/A
N/A
$31,281
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,906
N/A
N/A
$33,545
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,713
N/A
N/A
$33,359
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,030
N/A
N/A
$27,540
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,419
N/A
N/A
$31,517
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

ICE

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,159
N/A
N/A
$25,557
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,814
N/A
N/A
$24,434
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Iran

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,217
N/A
N/A
$21,333
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Charlotte / Golf

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,087
N/A
N/A
$18,727
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Healthcare

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,467
N/A
N/A
$16,259
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Hurricane / Helene

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,232
N/A
N/A
$20,539
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Kamala

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,948
N/A
N/A
$18,650
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,716
N/A
N/A
$18,524
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,973
N/A
N/A
$16,806
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,787
N/A
N/A
$15,434
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,436
N/A
N/A
$16,323
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,300
N/A
N/A
$12,329
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Landslide

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,283
N/A
N/A
$12,657
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,207
N/A
N/A
$12,457
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,121
N/A
N/A
$13,227
13h 39m
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,694
N/A
N/A
$10,310
13h 39m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 49

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say “Hottest” during remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina originally scheduled for September 16, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to that outcome. Resolution will be determined by whether Trump utters the phrase as part of his remarks, based on live broadcasts or official transcripts. Keep an eye on the remarks themselves as the market will resolve based on what is said, with a resolution date estimate of September 30, 2026, allowing time for transcripts to become available following the event.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during his official remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina on September 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Biden," "Fake News," "Communist/Communism"), and the market resolves to Yes if Trump says the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, during the speech. All markets share common resolution procedures: live video broadcasts are the primary source, with official transcripts used as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Markets resolve to No if the phrase isn’t spoken. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. If postponed within 14 days, markets remain open. Private conversations, archival footage, or off-mic statements do not count toward payout qualifications.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump North Carolina remarks market tracks the current odds for various statements that Donald Trump might make during his scheduled remarks. You can see the implied probability of each outcome, as well as the total volume traded – currently $1,544,161 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $1,271,516. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are pricing these possibilities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the remarks will go.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying possibilities that analysts may overlook or underemphasize. While analysts rely on qualitative assessments and expert knowledge, this market aggregates the views of numerous traders, creating a dynamic and responsive forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when dealing with unpredictable events like political speeches, where sentiment and unexpected statements can significantly impact outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential statements by Donald Trump. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each outcome, providing a transparent view of market sentiment. The current volume traded is $1,544,161, demonstrating active participation.

This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Donald Trump’s remarks in North Carolina, determining whether each statement included in the market was actually made. The focus is on direct quotes and verifiable statements, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor news sources and official transcripts as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any breaking news related to Donald Trump’s planned remarks, such as previews of his speech or changes to the event schedule, would likely cause price fluctuations. Shifts in public opinion, reflected in polling data or media coverage, could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected political developments or controversies involving Donald Trump could further impact the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the evolving context. The closer we get to Sep 30, 2026, the more sensitive this market will become to new information.