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406,065

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Politics
What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?
polymarket
kalshi

What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?

Volume:
$193,352

Above 2

 - Kalshi

Above 2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 12:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,811
N/A
N/A
$21,716
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nuclear

100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Space Force

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mission

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,834
N/A
N/A
$5,392
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Flag

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,623
N/A
N/A
$5,160
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Communication

100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Smart

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SpaceX

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
5.2¢
N/A
$16,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elon / Musk

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alien

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moon Base

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ISS / International Space Station

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Russia / Russian

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Century

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

China / Chinese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,631
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Never Seen Anything

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baby

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Far Side

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the number of Executive Orders signed by the President between August 23, 2026 and August 29, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability that the President will sign more than 2 Executive Orders during this period is 99.0%. This aggregate reflects trading activity from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on audio/video of Trump's remarks during the August 28, 2026 NASA ceremony. Keep an eye on the NASA ceremony in Houston on August 28, 2026, as the resolution will be based on the President’s statements during that event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets share identical resolution logic: check audio/video of the August 28, 2026 NASA ceremony for the specified phrasePrimary resolution logic: Audio/video of Trump's remarks during the August 28, 2026 NASA ceremony

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends solely on whether Trump utters the exact specified phrase during the scheduled NASA ceremony
  • If the event is canceled before August 29, 2026, the No Qualifying Event market resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No
  • Speeches or comments outside the named event do not count

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event Cancellation: If the NASA ceremony is definitively canceled before August 29, 2026, the No Qualifying Event market resolves to Yes and all specific phrase markets resolve to No
  • Partial Utterance: Markets resolve based on clear, unambiguous utterance of the full specified phrase - slang, misspellings, or partial phrases do not count
Timing: Resolution occurs after the August 28, 2026 ceremony concludes, based on verified audio/video evidenceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Donald Trump is scheduled to attend a ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston on August 28, 2026 at 11AM ET. (https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasas-artemis-ii-crew-set-to-receive-congressional-space-medal-of-honor/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's attendance of a ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston on August 28, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of executive orders signed by the President between August 23, 2026, and August 29, 2026. An executive order must be formally titled as such, numbered, signed by the President, published in the Federal Register, and possess the force of law to count. The signing date recorded in the Federal Register determines inclusion, even if publication occurs later. All officially designated executive orders count, regardless of later revocation or amendment. The contract expires two weeks after the period ends, with potential early expiration if relevant orders are published late.