TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Trump say during his Transportation Announcement?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his Transportation Announcement?

Volume:
$448,962

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

 - Kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,753
N/A
N/A
$11,687
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bus

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,339
N/A
N/A
$10,644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,569
N/A
N/A
$9,621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,383
N/A
N/A
$8,119
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,296
N/A
N/A
$9,213
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia / Russian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,519
N/A
N/A
$7,330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,418
N/A
N/A
$7,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ATC / Air Traffic Control / Air Traffic Controller

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,691
N/A
N/A
$5,927
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,282
N/A
N/A
$6,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,809
N/A
N/A
$5,863
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,265
N/A
N/A
$5,482
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59,641
N/A
N/A
$54,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,803
N/A
N/A
$24,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,453
N/A
N/A
$17,146
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,181
N/A
N/A
$14,668
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,077
N/A
N/A
$15,470
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,147
N/A
N/A
$14,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,929
N/A
N/A
$9,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,631
N/A
N/A
$9,770
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,658
N/A
N/A
$8,758
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,831
N/A
N/A
$9,637
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,593
N/A
N/A
$8,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Drone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,517
N/A
N/A
$7,931
Settled
No
kalshi

Elon / Musk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,509
N/A
N/A
$8,944
Settled
No
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,532
N/A
N/A
$7,301
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event tracks specific phrases Donald Trump might mention during an official transportation announcement with the Secretary of Transportation. The outcome depends on whether Trump utters any of the predefined terms during the live, press-accessible broadcast.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump, during an official announcement with the Secretary of Transportation, utters any of the specified phrases. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the live broadcast; if video consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. The announcement must be open to the press and delivered by Trump in an official capacity—presence alone or unofficial remarks do not qualify. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to proceed, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump transportation speech market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for whether specific phrases or topics will appear in the upcoming address. It also displays 24-hour volume of $441,626 and total volume of $448,962, letting traders monitor market momentum and liquidity as the event approaches.