TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 10:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say specific predefined phrases during his tele-rally with Ty Masterson, resolving based on video or transcripts from the event. On Kalshi, the current probability of the leading outcome stands at 99.0%. The market will resolve according to the official broadcast content on August 13, 2026, so watch for the tele-rally broadcast that day to see if any of the specified phrases are used.
The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump, speaking in an official capacity during the Tele-Rally with Ty Masterson, utters any of the specified phrases. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases. Resolution primarily uses video of the tele-rally; if video consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. The exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, must be used—grammatical variations do not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or Trump does not speak officially, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.