TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 9:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific phrases that Donald Trump might mention during a tele-rally with Mike Mazzei, focusing on politically charged or topical language. The outcome depends on whether any of the predefined phrases are spoken verbatim during the broadcast. Resolution relies on reviewing video or transcript records of the event.
The event comprises multiple markets, each tied to a specific phrase or term. A market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump utters the exact phrase—or any plural/possessive form of it—during the tele-rally with Mike Mazzei, while speaking in an official capacity. Phrases with slashes (e.g., "Crypto/Bitcoin") are treated as mutually satisfying criteria. Grammatical variations or inflections do not count, nor does additional content outside the original tele-rally broadcast. If the event is canceled or fails to meet qualifying criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within a day, rescheduled within 14 days, keep markets open. Resolution relies primarily on live video broadcasts, with official transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees.
Odds from this market often reflect a blend of real-time trader sentiment and short-term expectations, which can diverge from longer-term analyst forecasts. While analysts may weigh historical context and policy implications, traders in this market react instantly to news, polling shifts, and perceived momentum. As a result, you might see sharper or more volatile pricing in this market compared to consensus analyst views, especially in the days leading up to Sep 8, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch live transcripts, reputable news coverage, and official recordings for exact wording and context. The market settles based on whether specific mentions occur, as defined by the event’s public record.
This market could shift based on media coverage of rehearsal leaks, polling updates about voter sentiment, direct statements from campaign advisors, and any last-minute changes to the rally’s format or announced guests. As Sep 8, 2026 approaches, real-time news feeds and social media trends will heavily influence trader behavior, potentially causing rapid changes in odds depending on perceived significance of any announced topics or unexpected interruptions.