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406,065

Markets across

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Kalshi:

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What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Michael Alfonso?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Michael Alfonso?

Volume:
$707,699

Cuba / Cuban

 - Kalshi

Cuba / Cuban - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 10:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cuba / Cuban

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,986
N/A
N/A
$18,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America First

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,880
N/A
N/A
$23,181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Farm / Farmer

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,285
N/A
N/A
$22,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,331
N/A
N/A
$15,086
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,834
N/A
N/A
$8,277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,318
N/A
N/A
$9,216
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,610
N/A
N/A
$9,074
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131,774
N/A
N/A
$91,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,749
N/A
N/A
$51,593
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,244
N/A
N/A
$52,752
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,069
N/A
N/A
$23,762
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,885
N/A
N/A
$20,369
Settled
No
kalshi

Save America Act

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,494
N/A
N/A
$20,758
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,313
N/A
N/A
$26,162
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,239
N/A
N/A
$24,671
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,508
N/A
N/A
$17,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,404
N/A
N/A
$17,781
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,013
N/A
N/A
$16,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,950
N/A
N/A
$13,103
Settled
No
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,069
N/A
N/A
$9,546
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,299
N/A
N/A
$11,579
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,894
N/A
N/A
$10,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,336
N/A
N/A
$8,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,131
N/A
N/A
$10,486
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,549
N/A
N/A
$6,692
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific phrases during his tele-rally with Michael Alfonso. On Kalshi, the current probability of the leading outcome stands at 99.0%, with resolution based on the official broadcast video and transcripts. The outcome will be determined by the end of the tele-rally on 2026-08-25, focusing specifically on the exact wording used during the event.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on whether Donald Trump utters specific exact phrases during an official tele-rally with Michael Alfonso. Each market corresponds to a distinct phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Crypto / Bitcoin", "AI / Artificial Intelligence", "China / Chinese"). The market resolves to Yes if Trump uses the exact phrase, or any plural/possessive form of it, during the live broadcast. Verification primarily uses video of the tele-rally, with official transcripts as a secondary source if video consensus cannot be reached. The entire content of the original broadcast is considered; additional content outside the call is excluded. The event only qualifies if Trump speaks in an official capacity—inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements do not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise fails to meet resolution criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch live transcripts, fact-checking outlets, and authoritative news coverage of the tele-rally to determine which statement aligns with what actually occurs. The market settles based on observable, publicly recorded content.