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What will Trump say during his tele-rally with John McGuire?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will Trump say during his tele-rally with John McGuire?

Volume:
$146,948

Save America Act

 - Kalshi

Save America Act - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 7:40 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,734
N/A
N/A
$8,392
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,918
N/A
N/A
$6,718
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Second Amendment

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,416
N/A
N/A
$3,322
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Military

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,974
N/A
N/A
$2,854
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,940
N/A
N/A
$3,042
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Radical Left

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,520
N/A
N/A
$2,280
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,390
N/A
N/A
$2,324
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

America First

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,184
N/A
N/A
$1,924
1d 14h 52m
Yes
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73,922
N/A
N/A
$52,255
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,563
N/A
N/A
$4,563
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,034
N/A
N/A
$3,123
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,748
N/A
N/A
$3,111
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,862
N/A
N/A
$1,813
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,799
N/A
N/A
$2,543
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Midterm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,755
N/A
N/A
$2,355
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,238
N/A
N/A
$2,218
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
$1,771
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
$1,623
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Transgender

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,776
N/A
N/A
$1,532
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,609
N/A
N/A
$1,589
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,604
N/A
N/A
$1,554
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Peace Through Strength

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,533
N/A
N/A
$1,528
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,520
N/A
N/A
$1,498
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
$1,075
1d 14h 52m
No
kalshi

Veteran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
$942
1d 14h 52m
No
Total markets: 25

Description

During a scheduled tele-rally, specific phrases spoken by a prominent political figure will determine market outcomes. The resolution hinges on whether certain exact terms appear in the speech, verified through live broadcasts or official transcripts.

Kalshi

The event involves multiple markets, each resolving based on whether Donald Trump utters specific predefined phrases during a tele-rally with John McGuire scheduled for September 17, 2026. Verification uses live broadcasts or official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. Each market’s outcome depends strictly on the exact phrase or its plural/possessive form being spoken by Trump in an official capacity, with grammatical variations excluded. If the event is definitively canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to resolve normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, nullifying all others. Postponements announced within one day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump tele-rally market tracks the current odds of various statements being made by Donald Trump during his event with John McGuire. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $142,582. The total volume traded in this market is $146,948. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets regarding the content of the tele-rally, offering a dynamic assessment of expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks, leading to a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism that reflects the evolving sentiment surrounding the tele-rally.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a comprehensive review of transcripts and recordings of the tele-rally to determine whether each statement was made by Donald Trump. The market will determine which statements were actually uttered during the event, providing a clear and objective outcome based on publicly available evidence. Traders should monitor news coverage following the tele-rally for updates on the resolution process.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any pre-rally statements made by Donald Trump or John McGuire, or leaks regarding the planned content of the tele-rally, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected political developments or breaking news events could also shift focus and alter expectations. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion or media coverage surrounding key issues could impact the perceived likelihood of certain statements being made. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.