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What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Darline Graham?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Darline Graham?

Volume:
$860,009

MAGA / Make America Great Again

 - Kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 7:01 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,466
N/A
N/A
$28,520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,196
N/A
N/A
$27,170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,323
N/A
N/A
$21,856
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,274
N/A
N/A
$19,766
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,362
N/A
N/A
$14,232
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,644
N/A
N/A
$12,837
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,328
N/A
N/A
$9,598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,089
N/A
N/A
$75,515
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,980
N/A
N/A
$52,544
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,418
N/A
N/A
$40,015
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Ukraine

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,966
N/A
N/A
$34,934
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,283
N/A
N/A
$35,294
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,521
N/A
N/A
$32,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,888
N/A
N/A
$29,889
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,007
N/A
N/A
$26,212
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,752
N/A
N/A
$22,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,904
N/A
N/A
$22,957
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,144
N/A
N/A
$17,362
Settled
No
kalshi

Nancy Mace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,523
N/A
N/A
$19,084
Settled
No
kalshi

Filibuster

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,440
N/A
N/A
$18,489
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,342
N/A
N/A
$22,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,998
N/A
N/A
$17,917
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,504
N/A
N/A
$18,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Landslide

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,341
N/A
N/A
$18,497
Settled
No
kalshi

Drill Baby Drill

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,602
N/A
N/A
$8,557
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say specific phrases during his tele-rally with Darline Graham. On Kalshi, the current probability of the leading outcome stands at 96%. The market resolves based on video and transcripts from the broadcast. The specific catalyst to watch will be the tele-rally scheduled for August 25, 2026, which will determine whether the exact wording required for resolution is used.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each focusing on whether Donald Trump utters a specific phrase or topic during his official tele-rally with Darline Graham. Each market resolves to Yes if Trump uses the exact phrase, word, or its plural/possessive form as specified, during the live broadcast. Video of the event is the primary source for resolution, with official transcripts used as a secondary reference if needed. The entire content of the original broadcast is considered, and no additional content is counted. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond the allowed window, or Trump does not speak in an official capacity (e.g., private conversations or hot mic incidents), all markets resolve to No except the "Event does not qualify" market, which resolves to Yes. Postponements announced within the following calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump Tele-Rally statement market dashboard shows the current odds and price history for this prediction market, along with 24-hour volume of $629,442. It tracks how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements being made during the tele-rally, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment for the Trump Tele-Rally statement market.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of probabilities. Analysts may weigh broader political context and historical patterns, while traders on Kalshi react quickly to new information, polls, and media narratives. The resulting odds can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially when unexpected events occur, making this market a dynamic indicator of short-term expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on exact transcripts, reputable news coverage, and recorded speech content from the tele-rally, ensuring an objective assessment against the market’s defined criteria.