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What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Andy Ogles?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Andy Ogles?

Volume:
$642,641

Communist / Communism

 - Kalshi

Communist / Communism - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 7:27 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,064
N/A
N/A
$20,483
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,451
N/A
N/A
$17,123
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,563
N/A
N/A
$11,254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,837
N/A
N/A
$9,754
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,584
N/A
N/A
$8,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,036
N/A
N/A
$8,860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85,632
N/A
N/A
$81,948
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,731
N/A
N/A
$52,493
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,547
N/A
N/A
$52,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,638
N/A
N/A
$48,489
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,915
N/A
N/A
$37,551
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,516
N/A
N/A
$40,284
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,002
N/A
N/A
$33,980
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,623
N/A
N/A
$27,011
Settled
No
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,117
N/A
N/A
$22,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,903
N/A
N/A
$20,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,055
N/A
N/A
$13,842
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,551
N/A
N/A
$11,991
Settled
No
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,287
N/A
N/A
$11,445
Settled
No
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,832
N/A
N/A
$9,715
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,611
N/A
N/A
$9,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Landslide

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,144
N/A
N/A
$5,993
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say specific phrases during his tele-rally with Andy Ogles on Kalshi, using video and transcripts as verification. The current probability of the leading outcome is 87.0%. The market resolves based on the tele-rally's official broadcast content. Watch for the event on August 12, 2026, as this is when the tele-rally is scheduled and the market will resolve.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether Donald Trump utters the exact specified phrase or its plural/possessive form during the official tele-rally with Andy Ogles. The live broadcast or stream is the primary source for resolution, with video analysis taking precedence; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. Markets only qualify if Trump speaks in an official capacity—inaudible private conversations or unofficial hot-mic statements do not count. If the event is definitively canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise fails to meet qualification criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Trump Tele-Rally statement market, reflecting trader expectations about specific mentions. It shows current top-outcome probabilities and displays 24-hour volume of $636,694 to indicate market activity. The view is focused solely on how participants price the likelihood of various statements or themes during the tele-rally, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment for this single event.

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch live transcripts, fact-checking outlets, and news summaries to validate exact wording against market categories. The resolution depends on clear, public documentation of statements made during the tele-rally.

Several signals could shift probabilities before Aug 12, 2026, including breaking news about campaign strategy, polling releases that highlight voter concerns, and direct statements from advisors about rhetorical priorities. Media coverage framing the tele-rally’s goals may also influence expectations. Any surprise guest appearances or last-minute agenda changes could cause rapid price swings as traders reassess the odds of particular themes or mentions.