TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific phrases during his remarks in Nassau County, New York, on Kalshi, resolving based on live broadcasts or official transcripts. The current probability of the leading outcome stands at 99.0%. The resolution source is the live broadcast or official transcript from his speech. Watch for the event on August 29, 2026, as this is when his remarks are expected to occur.
The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during his official remarks in Nassau County, New York. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases. The exact word, or its plural/possessive form, must be used for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Resolution primarily uses video of the speech; if unclear, official transcripts are consulted. The event must be a live, press-accessible broadcast; pre-recorded or separate content does not count. If the speech is canceled or Trump does not speak officially, all markets resolve to 'No'. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these core resolution criteria and evidence standards.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch live broadcasts and reputable news sources for exact wording and context to determine which market outcome matches the remarks.