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What will Trump say during his remarks in Las Vegas?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his remarks in Las Vegas?

Volume:
$2,383,395

Social Security

 - Kalshi

Social Security - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 6:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Social Security

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101,009
N/A
N/A
$85,788
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95,050
N/A
N/A
$83,684
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,406
N/A
N/A
$53,254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$80,777
N/A
N/A
$71,794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Casino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,064
N/A
N/A
$47,824
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69,532
N/A
N/A
$51,408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,702
N/A
N/A
$40,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manufacturing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,978
N/A
N/A
$44,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

American Dream

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,225
N/A
N/A
$31,691
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Venezuela

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,014
N/A
N/A
$43,230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,003
N/A
N/A
$34,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,978
N/A
N/A
$35,073
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,782
N/A
N/A
$34,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,613
N/A
N/A
$35,697
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom / Pool

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,179
N/A
N/A
$26,010
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump Account

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,706
N/A
N/A
$23,351
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,642
N/A
N/A
$26,646
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,480
N/A
N/A
$27,975
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,240
N/A
N/A
$22,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

First Term

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,997
N/A
N/A
$26,864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America First

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,811
N/A
N/A
$21,665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,732
N/A
N/A
$20,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,710
N/A
N/A
$23,727
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Waiter / Waitress

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,370
N/A
N/A
$20,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,148
N/A
N/A
$15,991
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 45

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific phrases during his official remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. The resolution will be based on live broadcasts or official transcripts from the event. The outcome will be determined following his speech scheduled for August 20, 2026, so keep an eye on that date to see if any of the specified phrases are used during his address.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during his official remarks in Las Vegas. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast; if unclear, official transcripts are used. The speech must be officially delivered to the press for the market to qualify. If the event is canceled or unresolved due to circumstances preventing normal verification, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, nullifying all others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All phrases must appear in exact form, with allowances for plurals or possessive cases but not grammatical variations. Private or off-mic comments do not count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump Las Vegas remarks market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,126,461. It shows how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes based on anticipated statements from the event. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity, giving users insight into speculative sentiment surrounding this political moment. Total volume for this market sits at $2,383,395, indicating overall trader interest.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, traders’ perspective on what might be said. Analysts may weigh long-term policy implications, while traders in this market focus on likely phrasing and tone during the speech. Discrepancies can arise when media narratives shift rapidly. Still, both sources offer valuable views: analysts provide context, and this market captures real-time betting sentiment ahead of Aug 20, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact determination depends on what is publicly documented from the remarks, and traders will see the result reflected shortly after.

Media coverage of preparation briefs, surrogate interviews, and polling trends could sway this market as they shape expectations for tone and topics. Any last-minute changes in speaking agenda or guest appearances may also shift odds. Additionally, broader political events or controversies occurring before Aug 20, 2026 can influence trader sentiment. The market will react quickly to any public hint about likely themes or language from the speaker.