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What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
limitless

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

Volume:
$31

Taiwan

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Taiwan - Limitless

1W

News

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Vol.

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Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 12:13 PM EST

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Taiwan

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
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$31
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No
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Manufacture / Manufacturing

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Event does not qualify

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Ukraine

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United Nations / NATO

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Tariff

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Melania

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Deal

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Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

If Donald Trump says Manufacture / Manufacturing as part of remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Outcome verified from ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, and Politico.

Limitless

If Donald Trump says Manufacture / Manufacturing as part of remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. Outcome verified from ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, and Politico.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional polls and analyst expectations regarding the content of the remarks. While polls often capture general sentiment, this market reflects what individuals are willing to put their money on, providing a potential ‘wisdom of the crowd’ signal. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and pre-event analysis can highlight areas where the market anticipates surprises or holds differing beliefs about the likelihood of specific statements. This is a forward-looking indicator, unlike retrospective poll analysis.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective belief of traders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a logarithmic scale for price display, meaning that equal percentage changes in probability are represented by equal distances on the price axis. This ensures that even outcomes with very low or very high probabilities can be traded efficiently.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a comprehensive review of the official transcript of Trump’s remarks during Xi Jinping’s state arrival. The specific statements that are the subject of this market will be assessed for inclusion in the transcript to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official record, not by any subjective interpretation.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any pre-arrival statements from either Trump or Xi Jinping regarding the topics likely to be discussed would be a major catalyst. Unexpected geopolitical developments or shifts in the US-China relationship could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, leaks or credible reports about the planned content of Trump’s remarks would likely cause substantial price adjustments. Finally, broader market events or news related to international trade could also impact trading activity in this market.