TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific words and phrases Donald Trump may mention during his live remarks at the Faith & Freedom Coalition's 2026 Policy Conference. Resolution depends on whether Trump speaks in an official capacity during a press-open, televised or streamed event, with verification through video and official transcripts.
Resolution requires Donald Trump to speak in an official capacity during a live, press-open, televised or streamed address at the Faith & Freedom Coalition's 2026 Policy Conference. Video of the remarks serves as the primary resolution source; official transcripts are used if video consensus cannot be reached. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the exact phrase or word (including plural or possessive forms) is used during the remarks; grammatical and tense inflections do not count as variations. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate events or times are excluded. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, all phrase-specific markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. Trump must be present and speaking officially; inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic do not qualify.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate live information and financial incentives for accuracy. While political analysts and pollsters rely on historical models and survey data, this market prices in breaking news, campaign developments, and trader expertise in real time. Markets tend to update faster than published forecasts and can reveal asymmetries in expert opinion. However, both approaches have merit: analysts provide structured reasoning and context, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed knowledge. Comparing the two can highlight where consensus is strong or where uncertainty remains high around what will be said at the event.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once Trump's remarks at the Faith & Freedom Coalition's 2026 Policy Conference have concluded and the content is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on what Trump actually says during his remarks, as documented by news coverage, official transcripts, or video records. Resolution hinges on whether specific statements or topics match the market's predefined outcome categories. Traders should monitor official event announcements and credible media sources as the date approaches to track any scheduling changes or relevant developments.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Major political developments, shifts in Trump's policy positions, or statements from Faith & Freedom Coalition leadership about the event's focus could reshape trader expectations. Campaign announcements, legislative action, or breaking news in the weeks leading up to the conference may signal what topics Trump intends to emphasize. Media speculation and pundit commentary often influence prediction markets as traders incorporate new information. Additionally, any official preview or Trump's own social media posts hinting at his remarks' content could trigger sharp repricing. Close monitoring of political news and event details will help traders anticipate and respond to market-moving information.