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$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

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What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?

Volume:
$672,249

Tunnel to Towers

 - Kalshi

Tunnel to Towers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 11:50 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tunnel to Towers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,850
N/A
N/A
$31,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,836
N/A
N/A
$12,128
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,357
N/A
N/A
$10,341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,985
N/A
N/A
$8,493
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101,368
N/A
N/A
$94,994
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,075
N/A
N/A
$28,948
Settled
No
kalshi

Made in America / American Made

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,097
N/A
N/A
$27,362
Settled
No
kalshi

NYPD / FDNY

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,737
N/A
N/A
$24,436
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,889
N/A
N/A
$24,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,882
N/A
N/A
$32,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,598
N/A
N/A
$28,117
Settled
No
kalshi

Manufacturing

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,568
N/A
N/A
$23,862
Settled
No
kalshi

National Security

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,599
N/A
N/A
$15,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Invest / Invested / Investment

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,198
N/A
N/A
$13,082
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,037
N/A
N/A
$12,119
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,744
N/A
N/A
$13,394
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,312
N/A
N/A
$14,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Save America Act

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,119
N/A
N/A
$13,689
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,067
N/A
N/A
$11,553
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,965
N/A
N/A
$12,532
Settled
No
kalshi

Inflation

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,978
N/A
N/A
$10,973
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,388
N/A
N/A
$8,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,356
N/A
N/A
$9,569
Settled
No
kalshi

Venezuela

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,827
N/A
N/A
$9,383
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,031
N/A
N/A
$8,575
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say “American Dream” during his remarks at Steel Across America. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to that outcome. The market resolves based on whether Trump utters the exact phrase during his official address, as verified by live broadcast or official transcripts. Keep an eye on the remarks themselves, scheduled for September 23, 2026, as that is when this market will resolve based on the content of his speech.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each tied to a specific phrase Donald Trump may say during his Steel Across America remarks. A market resolves to 'Yes' if Trump utters the exact specified phrase—either in its base form, plural, or possessive—during his official address. Verification uses live broadcast video or, if needed, official transcripts. Grammatical variations or private off-mic comments do not count. If the event is canceled or fails to meet payout criteria, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all others to 'No.' Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Consensus among Kalshi employees ensures fair resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump remarks market tracks the current implied probabilities of various statements being made during his remarks at Steel Across America. You can view the odds for each potential mention, the total volume traded – currently $672,249 – and the 24-hour trading volume, which is $413,254. The dashboard also provides a price history chart, allowing you to see how expectations have shifted over time. This provides a dynamic view of what traders believe is most likely to be said.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts regarding the content of the upcoming remarks. While polls and expert opinions provide valuable insights, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting real-time assessments of potential statements. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies and information access. It’s important to note that analysts often focus on broader political strategies, while this market directly assesses the probability of specific phrases being uttered. Examining these differences can offer a more comprehensive understanding of expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of specific statements being made, and the prices reflect the collective assessment of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract indicates the implied probability of that statement occurring; a higher price suggests a greater likelihood. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and responsive valuation of potential remarks.

This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, following the conclusion of Donald Trump's remarks at the Steel Across America event. The outcome will be determined by a review of transcripts and recordings of the speech, verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle based on whether each statement listed in the market was demonstrably uttered during the event. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective assessment of what was actually said, based on publicly available evidence.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any pre-released excerpts from the planned remarks, statements from Trump's campaign regarding the speech's focus, or breaking news events that might alter the context of the event could all shift trader sentiment. Major political developments or unexpected endorsements could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion or media coverage surrounding key policy areas are likely to impact the perceived probability of certain statements being made during the address.