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What will Trump say during his remarks at Mount Rushmore?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his remarks at Mount Rushmore?

Volume:
$2,677,572

Communist / Communism

 - Kalshi

Communist / Communism - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 12:38 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,750
N/A
N/A
$48,159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54,771
N/A
N/A
$49,329
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Farm / Farmer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,975
N/A
N/A
$43,384
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,787
N/A
N/A
$44,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,397
N/A
N/A
$33,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden Age

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,664
N/A
N/A
$34,329
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,197
N/A
N/A
$30,950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

American Dream

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,292
N/A
N/A
$34,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Constitution

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,726
N/A
N/A
$23,206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,269
N/A
N/A
$22,254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,885
N/A
N/A
$24,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

World Cup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$220,812
N/A
N/A
$194,427
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204,507
N/A
N/A
$181,767
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$198,515
N/A
N/A
$175,236
Settled
No
kalshi

Founding Father

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185,194
N/A
N/A
$161,334
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144,360
N/A
N/A
$130,354
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$138,184
N/A
N/A
$117,223
Settled
No
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,161
N/A
N/A
$109,279
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114,141
N/A
N/A
$99,526
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,945
N/A
N/A
$104,270
Settled
No
kalshi

Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106,703
N/A
N/A
$99,407
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94,389
N/A
N/A
$73,241
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85,963
N/A
N/A
$74,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,562
N/A
N/A
$70,568
Settled
No
kalshi

Veteran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,219
N/A
N/A
$69,131
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Donald Trump will say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his remarks at Mount Rushmore. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by analyzing video of the remarks and official transcripts to confirm whether Trump uses those specific words. Watch for the Mount Rushmore event scheduled for July 18, 2026, when the live, press-open remarks will be broadcast or streamed.

Kalshi

These markets track whether Donald Trump uses specific words or phrases during his live remarks at Mount Rushmore. Resolution is based on video of the event, with official transcripts used as backup if consensus cannot be reached from video alone. The exact word or phrase must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Only content from the live broadcast or stream counts; previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings from separate times or places are excluded. Trump must speak in an official capacity for the event to qualify—inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic do not count. The event must be open to the press and televised or streamed to qualify. If the event is cancelled or fails to meet qualification criteria, all markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Trump Mount Rushmore remarks market on Kalshi displays real-time odds and historical price movements for predicted statements during the event. Traders monitor current contract prices, recent trading activity, and cumulative volume of $2,677,572 to gauge market sentiment on what will be said. The interface shows how odds shift as new information emerges, allowing participants to track conviction levels across different possible outcomes. This live pricing reflects the collective forecast of active traders on the platform.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-money incentives and continuous price discovery. While political analysts may rely on historical patterns and expert judgment, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Analyst predictions tend to be published at discrete intervals, whereas market odds update constantly as new developments emerge. Both approaches offer value: markets excel at capturing shifting sentiment, while analysts provide narrative context and methodological rigor.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible statements. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's price reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from near-zero to near-certain. Prices adjust in real time as buy and sell orders flow in, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery without intermediaries.

This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the remarks have been delivered and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by analyzing the actual statements made during the event and matching them against the predefined categories tracked in this market. Resolution hinges on factual verification rather than interpretation, ensuring clarity and fairness. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable news coverage in the days leading up to and immediately following the event.

Market odds may shift based on Trump's recent public statements, scheduled appearances, or breaking political news that hints at his likely remarks. Changes in polling, legislative developments, or international events could influence what topics he emphasizes at Mount Rushmore. Media coverage and expert commentary in the weeks before the event often move odds as traders reassess probabilities. Additionally, any official announcements about the event's focus or context could trigger significant repricing across all outcomes.