TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific topics during his official remarks at General Motors in Milford, Michigan, on Kalshi, resolving based on video or official transcripts. The current probability of the leading outcome stands at 99.0%. The market will resolve according to the exact wording used during the live, press-accessible address. Watch for the event on August 11, 2026, as this is when Trump's remarks are scheduled, determining the market outcome.
The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump includes specified exact phrases during his official remarks at General Motors in Milford, Michigan. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or term; if Trump uses the exact phrase (including plural or possessive forms) during the live, press-accessible address, that market resolves to Yes. Video recordings are the primary source for resolution, supplemented by official transcripts if needed. The event must occur as a formal, televised or streamed address open to the press; private or unofficial statements do not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to proceed, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days allow markets to remain open.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts based on their outlook. The current top outcome probability reflects the collective judgment of all traders on the platform. Price fluctuations respond instantly to new statements, media coverage, and polling updates linked to the event, allowing rapid adjustment to emerging signals.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on transcripts, reputable news coverage, and official records of the remarks. Traders should watch for authoritative sources that document exact wording and context, as these will define the market’s settlement.
Key signals that could shift this market include preview statements from campaign advisors, media reports quoting early drafts of the speech, and reactions from political opponents or industry groups. Any surprise policy announcements, polling shifts, or live fact-checking during the remarks may also cause rapid price changes. Traders should stay alert to breaking news feeds in the days leading to Aug 11, 2026.