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What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?

Volume:
$1,350,924

ICE

 - Kalshi

ICE - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 9:01 PM EST

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Outcome
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7d
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Result
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100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,918
N/A
N/A
$44,100
Settled
Yes
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4%
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100¢
N/A
$53,265
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N/A
$50,922
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Yes
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100%
23%
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100¢
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$50,643
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N/A
$38,356
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Yes
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100%
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100¢
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$45,788
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N/A
$37,028
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Yes
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100%
7%
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100¢
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$45,279
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N/A
$33,287
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Yes
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100¢
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N/A
$27,129
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Yes
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100¢
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$37,840
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N/A
$29,001
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Yes
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Afford / Affordable / Affordability

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100¢
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$37,509
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N/A
$29,750
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Yes
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65%
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100¢
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$36,942
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N/A
$31,306
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Yes
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100¢
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N/A
$22,312
Settled
Yes
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52%
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N/A
$27,113
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Yes
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100%
12%
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100¢
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N/A
$24,108
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Yes
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100¢
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N/A
$24,706
Settled
Yes
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100%
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100¢
N/A
$25,647
N/A
N/A
$23,242
Settled
Yes
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Stock Market

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100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,348
N/A
N/A
$20,043
Settled
Yes
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Landslide

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100%
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100¢
N/A
$25,257
N/A
N/A
$16,658
Settled
Yes
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MAGA / Make America Great Again

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100%
10%
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100¢
N/A
$24,331
N/A
N/A
$15,951
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Yes
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America First

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100%
24%
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100¢
N/A
$23,646
N/A
N/A
$19,512
Settled
Yes
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First Term

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100%
10%
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100¢
N/A
$23,564
N/A
N/A
$19,940
Settled
Yes
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Communist / Communism

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100%
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100¢
N/A
$21,585
N/A
N/A
$18,608
Settled
Yes
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Illegal Alien

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100%
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100¢
N/A
$20,265
N/A
N/A
$16,596
Settled
Yes
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Radical Left

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100%
6%
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100¢
N/A
$14,654
N/A
N/A
$11,437
Settled
Yes
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Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

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100%
9%
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100¢
N/A
$9,072
N/A
N/A
$7,377
Settled
Yes
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Crypto / Bitcoin

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0%
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100¢
N/A
$154,206
N/A
N/A
$133,631
Settled
No
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Fraud

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0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,304
N/A
N/A
$36,191
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention Filibuster during his rally with Senator Darline Graham on Kalshi, using live broadcasts and transcripts as the resolution source. The current probability for the leading outcome is 1.0%, with the second outcome also at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on Trump's speech content, and all eyes will be on the rally scheduled for 2026-09-05 to determine the outcome.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each centered on whether Donald Trump utters a specific phrase during his rally with Senator Darline Graham. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast or stream of the event, supplemented by official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. All markets require Trump to be speaking in an official capacity; mere presence or off-mic comments do not count. The rally must be open to press coverage and conducted as a live televised or streamed event. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond rescheduling limits, or otherwise unable to proceed under the payout criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, nullifying all others. Each individual market resolves to Yes only if the exact specified phrase, including any plural or possessive forms, is spoken during the official address, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and titles within phrases are considered in their plural forms when applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard shows the current odds and price history for the Trump rally statement market, along with a 24-hour volume of $1,033,851. It provides a real-time view of how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes from Trump's rally with Darline Graham, updated continuously throughout trading.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect the collective judgment of Kalshi traders about what Trump will say during the rally. While analysts may offer detailed textual predictions, the market offers a quantifiable probability distribution that can diverge based on real-time sentiment, breaking news, and trading dynamics unique to Kalshi.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to transcribed remarks, reputable news coverage, and official event records to determine which outcome matches what was actually said during the rally.

Between now and Sep 5, 2026, this market could shift based on media coverage of rally preparations, polling updates, statements from Trump’s campaign, and any last-minute changes to the rally schedule. Major news about Darline Graham’s involvement, debate performance, or public reaction could also cause rapid price swings as traders reassess likely outcomes.