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What will Trump say during his rally in Montana?
🌟New
kalshi

What will Trump say during his rally in Montana?

Oct 13, 2026, 1:45 PM EST - Oct 28, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$950,237
Volume 24h:
$947,797N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$774,306
296%

Save America Act

 - Kalshi

Save America Act - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 28, 2026

Time left: 13d:10h:11m

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Kalispell, Montana originally scheduled for October 14, 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

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kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 33% Illiquid market 13 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Save America Act

Trade
99%
5%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$71,052
58,139%
N/A
$68,854
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Coal

Trade
99%
43%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$18,387
6,128,790%
N/A
$15,923
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

Trade
99%
28%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$12,062
11,842%
N/A
$8,876
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Transgender

Trade
99%
3%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$101,047
20,354%
N/A
$78,017
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Flint / Michigan

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$34,456
N/A
N/A
$25,521
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

Trade
99%
12%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$18,708
3,340,605%
N/A
$17,233
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Public Land

Trade
99%
75%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$18,324
26,847%
N/A
$13,318
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

Trade
99%
24%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$16,481
1,049,623%
N/A
$10,506
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Trade
99%
4%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$16,140
5,111%
N/A
$10,771
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Dividend / Stimulus

Trade
99%
7%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$11,571
10,816%
N/A
$11,408
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Healthcare

Trade
99%
7%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$9,900
5,656%
N/A
$8,644
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

ICE

Trade
99%
39%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$7,084
2,146,376%
N/A
$5,790
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Trade
99%
40%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6,363
92,385%
N/A
$4,229
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Supreme Court

Trade
99%
48%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,922
1,960,690%
N/A
$3,043
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

China / Chinese

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,646
0%
N/A
$2,581
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Sanctuary

Trade
99%
73%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$10,993
133,795%
N/A
$9,834
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$84,770
17,641%
N/A
$82,010
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

America First

Trade
1%
23%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$54,937
478,456%
N/A
$50,512
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Trade
1%
39%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51,558
288,100%
N/A
$47,009
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Event does not qualify

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$41,480
39,404%
N/A
$36,221
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Kamala

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$30,096
0%
N/A
$13,980
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Fentanyl

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$29,594
0%
N/A
$22,562
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

Trade
1%
89%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$27,725
498,554%
N/A
$19,293
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$26,708
0%
N/A
$22,044
1w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Made in America / American Made

Trade
1%
70%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$26,237
28,989%
N/A
$18,472
1w 6d 10h
active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” during his Midterm Rally in Kalispell, Montana originally scheduled for October 14, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to that outcome. The market resolves based on a direct transcription of Trump’s remarks during the rally, as determined by the resolution source. Traders should closely watch for any changes in Trump’s planned remarks leading up to the resolution date of October 28, 2026, which is when the market will close following the conclusion of the rally.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each tied to a specific phrase or set of phrases that Donald Trump may say during his midterm rally in Kalispell, Montana, scheduled for October 14, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if Trump utters the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity during the live broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the rally; if video consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. Certain conditions, such as inaudible private conversations or archival footage, do not count toward payout. If the rally is definitively canceled, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all others resolve to 'No.' If postponed within 14 days, markets remain open. The 'Iran (5+ times)' and 'Fraud (3+ times)' markets require the respective word to be spoken the specified number of times for a 'Yes' outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump Montana rally market tracks the probabilities of different statements being made by Donald Trump during his rally. You’ll find a visual representation of the current odds, along with the total volume traded—currently $950,237—and the 24-hour trading volume, which is $947,593. This allows participants to see which statements are considered most and least likely by the crowd, and how interest in those possibilities is changing over time. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment surrounding the event.

Currently, this market reflects a collective prediction based on traders’ assessments of what Donald Trump will say at his Montana rally. These predictions are often distinct from those of political analysts and pollsters, as they represent a different form of information aggregation—a real-money incentive to be accurate. While analysts rely on qualitative assessments and polling data, this market aggregates diverse perspectives through financial stakes. Discrepancies between the market’s probabilities and expert opinions can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcomes of the rally.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that statement being made. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential content of the rally. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades depend on correct forecasts.

This market is scheduled to resolve around Oct 28, 2026. The outcome will be determined by assessing transcripts and credible news reports covering Donald Trump’s rally in Montana. Specifically, the outcome will be verified against credible public sources to determine whether each statement listed in the market was actually uttered by Donald Trump during the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The resolution will reflect the consensus of these sources, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any pre-rally statements made by Donald Trump, his campaign team, or related figures could shift expectations and alter the probabilities. Major news events occurring before the rally, particularly those related to the topics Trump is likely to address, could also have an impact. Unexpected changes to the rally’s schedule or location could also move the market. Finally, any leaks or credible reports about the planned content of the speech could cause significant shifts in trading activity and the overall odds.