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What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?
🌟New
kalshi

What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?

Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$11,935
Volume 24h:
$9,275N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$11,401
269%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

 - Kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 16d:09h:17m

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 59% 16 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 98¢No 4¢
2¢
N/A
$653
4%
N/A
$653
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Transgender

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$623
95%
N/A
$568
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Save America Act

Trade
95%
2%
Yes 97¢No 5¢
2¢
N/A
$492
62%
N/A
$492
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Healthcare

Trade
90%
4%
Yes 94¢No 10¢
4¢
N/A
$259
49%
N/A
$259
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Coal

Trade
90%
1%
Yes 90¢No 18¢
8¢
N/A
$49
432%
N/A
$45
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Dividend / Stimulus

Trade
88%
7%
Yes 92¢No 10¢
2¢
N/A
$181
2%
N/A
$181
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

Trade
88%
1%
Yes 88¢No 18¢
6¢
N/A
$27
497%
N/A
$27
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Trade
88%
Yes 88¢No 17¢
5¢
N/A
$16
581%
N/A
$16
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

Trade
86%
2%
Yes 85¢No 19¢
4¢
N/A
$169
2,204%
N/A
$153
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Massie

Trade
86%
4%
Yes 85¢No 19¢
4¢
N/A
$121
2,080%
N/A
$121
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

China / Chinese

Trade
86%
21%
Yes 89¢No 21¢
10¢
N/A
$100
4,406%
N/A
$98
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Supreme Court

Trade
83%
11%
Yes 86¢No 15¢
1¢
N/A
$886
2,722%
N/A
$886
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 77¢No 29¢
6¢
N/A
$115
40%
N/A
$115
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Tariff (3+ times)

Trade
76%
7%
Yes 76¢No 30¢
6¢
N/A
$28
1,884%
N/A
$28
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

ICE

Trade
73%
Yes 73¢No 32¢
5¢
N/A
$29
0%
N/A
$17
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

Trade
72%
16%
Yes 73¢No 40¢
13¢
N/A
$14
1,136%
N/A
$14
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Made in America / American Made

Trade
71%
3%
Yes 67¢No 44¢
11¢
N/A
$282
630%
N/A
$188
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Russia / Ukraine

Trade
62%
15%
Yes 60¢No 50¢
10¢
N/A
$326
182%
N/A
$294
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Sanctuary

Trade
52%
Yes 45¢No 63¢
8¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$21
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Hormuz

Trade
38%
Yes 35¢No 76¢
11¢
N/A
$77
0%
N/A
$77
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Drill Baby Drill

Trade
38%
16%
Yes 24¢No 80¢
4¢
N/A
$29
2,179%
N/A
$22
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

Trade
34%
26%
Yes 33¢No 77¢
10¢
N/A
$40
1,146%
N/A
$40
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Trade
25%
13%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$191
12,264%
N/A
$182
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Blockade

Trade
24%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
2¢
N/A
$358
0%
N/A
$324
2w 2d 9h
active
kalshi

Fraud (3+ times)

Trade
22%
4%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$106
5,724%
N/A
$104
2w 2d 9h
active
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific topics during a scheduled campaign rally. The outcome depends on his actual speech content, making it a test of real-time political messaging and audience engagement during the event.

Kalshi

Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast or stream of the rally, supplemented by official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. Markets resolve to Yes only if Trump utters the exact specified phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity during the event. Grammatical variations, inaudible private remarks, and content from unrelated recordings do not count. If the rally is definitively canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, closing all others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump Kentucky rally market tracks the probabilities of various statements being made by Donald Trump during his rally in Kentucky. You can view the current odds for each potential outcome, as well as the total volume traded, which currently stands at $11,935. The 24-hour volume is $8,995, indicating recent trading activity. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and make informed predictions about what will be discussed at the rally.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as those forecasts are often qualitative and lack the precision of a prediction market. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi can offer a different perspective than individual expert opinions. If analysts predict a high likelihood of certain topics being addressed, we might see corresponding higher probabilities reflected in this market. Discrepancies between market odds and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and the collective wisdom of traders participating in this market. Currently, the total volume traded is $11,935.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on a review of transcripts and video recordings of the rally, focusing on whether each statement in the market was demonstrably made by Donald Trump. The outcome will be determined by the platform based on publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any breaking news regarding Donald Trump’s planned remarks, changes to the rally schedule, or prominent themes he has been emphasizing recently would likely impact trading activity. Major political developments, significant policy announcements, or even strong reactions to recent events could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, polling data or analysis from political commentators regarding likely topics of discussion could influence traders’ beliefs and, consequently, the prices in this market.