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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

Oct 17, 2026, 12:40 PM EST - Nov 7, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$49,484
Volume 24h:
$34,540
397%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$41,582
174%

Stock Market

 - Kalshi

Stock Market - Kalshi

1W

News

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Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 15d:19h:20m

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026?

85%chance
Amount

$

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 84¢ buys you 119 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $119 | Net Profit: $19 Multiplier: 1.19x | ROI: 19% High Projected APY: 5,230% 15 days to resolution
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Outcome
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Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stock Market

Trade
85%
Yes 84¢No 27¢
11¢
N/A
$1,797
348%
N/A
$1,603
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Transgender

Trade
84%
2%
Yes 87¢No 24¢
11¢
N/A
$7,138
245%
N/A
$6,879
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Save America Act

Trade
80%
Yes 81¢No 28¢
9¢
N/A
$2,369
0%
N/A
$2,169
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Hottest

Trade
79%
2%
Yes 82¢No 23¢
5¢
N/A
$1,787
117%
N/A
$1,336
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

Trade
77%
11%
Yes 77¢No 39¢
16¢
N/A
$612
392%
N/A
$501
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Nuclear (3+ times)

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65%
1%
Yes 60¢No 51¢
11¢
N/A
$1,251
3,451%
N/A
$1,189
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Hyundai

Trade
65%
6%
Yes 65¢No 42¢
7¢
N/A
$751
0.81%
N/A
$694
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Keisha Lance Bottoms

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63%
10%
Yes 58¢No 49¢
7¢
N/A
$763
12%
N/A
$646
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Kamala

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58%
2%
Yes 71¢No 44¢
15¢
N/A
$271
19%
N/A
$199
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

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58%
4%
Yes 55¢No 54¢
9¢
N/A
$69
82%
N/A
$44
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Gulf of America

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57%
1%
Yes 61¢No 46¢
7¢
N/A
$320
41%
N/A
$250
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kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

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56%
11%
Yes 64¢No 50¢
14¢
N/A
$2,924
4,910%
N/A
$2,889
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Sleepy Joe

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56%
25%
Yes 59¢No 52¢
11¢
N/A
$1,886
1,612%
N/A
$863
2w 1d 19h
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Supreme Court

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56%
22%
Yes 59¢No 50¢
9¢
N/A
$705
1,752%
N/A
$678
2w 1d 19h
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Russia / Ukraine

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56%
1%
Yes 60¢No 51¢
11¢
N/A
$647
20%
N/A
$539
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Hormuz

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52%
1%
Yes 52¢No 65¢
17¢
N/A
$39
250%
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$39
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Marjorie

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2%
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5¢
N/A
$220
45%
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$207
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Rigged Election

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40%
2%
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5¢
N/A
$3,719
71%
N/A
$3,096
2w 1d 19h
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Made in America / American Made

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37%
6%
Yes 44¢No 63¢
7¢
N/A
$2,277
55%
N/A
$1,263
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Israel / Israeli

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31%
26%
Yes 28¢No 77¢
5¢
N/A
$1,969
11,039%
N/A
$714
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Drill Baby Drill

Trade
28%
10%
Yes 33¢No 77¢
10¢
N/A
$151
52%
N/A
$130
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Trade
26%
10%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
2¢
N/A
$899
133%
N/A
$707
2w 1d 19h
active
kalshi

Blockade

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25%
2%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
N/A
$390
5%
N/A
$89
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation

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25%
6%
Yes 23¢No 87¢
10¢
N/A
$252
35%
N/A
$170
2w 1d 19h
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kalshi

Fentanyl

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24%
5%
Yes 24¢No 89¢
13¢
N/A
$182
95%
N/A
$123
2w 1d 19h
active
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This event tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific keywords or phrases during a scheduled rally. The rally serves as a platform where Trump may address various topics, and the focus here is on whether he includes certain designated terms in his speech.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Donald Trump utters any of 32 specified phrases during his Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia, scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each phrase represents a distinct market, and the market resolves to Yes if Trump says the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity during the rally. Resolution relies primarily on live broadcast or stream video, with official transcripts used as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Markets will resolve to No if the rally is definitively cancelled, postponed beyond 14 calendar days, or otherwise fails to qualify. If the event is postponed within 14 days, markets remain open. The "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes only if no qualifying phrases are spoken and the event itself occurs as scheduled.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump Georgia rally market displays the current odds for various statements Donald Trump might make during his rally. You can view the implied probabilities of each outcome, along with the total volume traded—currently $49,484—and the 24-hour volume, which is $33,244. The dashboard also provides a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. This provides a clear overview of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different scenarios at the Georgia rally.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or punditry, reflecting the aggregated predictions of a diverse group of traders. While analysts might focus on strategic messaging or political calculations, this market focuses on what Trump is actually likely to *say*. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of a prediction market environment where traders directly stake capital on their beliefs.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible statements. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that statement being made. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Donald Trump’s remarks during the Georgia rally. Any statements made that match the defined outcomes in this market will determine the winning predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. It’s important to note that the focus is on the actual words spoken, not interpretations or analyses of the speech.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any breaking news related to the Georgia rally, such as changes to the schedule or announced themes, would likely impact trading activity. Furthermore, Trump's recent public statements or social media activity could offer clues about his likely messaging. Unexpected political developments or controversies could also shift the focus of his remarks. Finally, any major shifts in public opinion or polling data related to the issues likely to be addressed at the rally could influence traders' predictions in this market.