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What will Trump say during his Punchbowl News interview?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his Punchbowl News interview?

Volume:
$108,105

Biden

 - Kalshi

Biden - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:28 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,160
N/A
N/A
$22,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,765
N/A
N/A
$8,345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,802
N/A
N/A
$3,710
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,470
N/A
N/A
$3,722
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,717
N/A
N/A
$2,960
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,586
N/A
N/A
$2,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,420
N/A
N/A
$2,865
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,318
N/A
N/A
$2,777
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,018
N/A
N/A
$2,913
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,661
N/A
N/A
$2,516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,546
N/A
N/A
$1,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,036
N/A
N/A
$7,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,451
N/A
N/A
$4,771
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,332
N/A
N/A
$3,735
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,108
N/A
N/A
$4,591
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,805
N/A
N/A
$3,282
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,837
N/A
N/A
$2,229
Settled
No
kalshi

First Term

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,650
N/A
N/A
$1,820
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,097
N/A
N/A
$1,370
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,032
N/A
N/A
$1,469
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,804
N/A
N/A
$1,272
Settled
No
kalshi

Hoax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,581
N/A
N/A
$1,479
Settled
No
kalshi

Healthcare

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$908
N/A
N/A
$819
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event tracks specific phrases that Donald Trump might mention during an interview with Punchbowl News. The outcome depends on whether Trump utters any of the predefined terms during the broadcast, requiring exact matches to the listed phrases.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump, during his official capacity in the Punchbowl News interview, utters any of the specified phrases. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the interview; if inconclusive, official transcripts are used. The exact phrase, including plural or possessive forms, must be spoken—grammatical variations do not count. If the interview is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or Trump does not speak officially (e.g., private conversations), the "Event does not qualify" market wins, and all others lose. Postponements announced within one day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump Punchbowl interview market dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the outcome of what Trump will say during his Punchbowl News interview. You can see the current top outcome, how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour volume of $101,485. This gives you a live view of trader sentiment as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the Punchbowl News interview airs, analysts and media will parse Trump’s exact remarks. The market will then close based on whether his statements align with the defined outcome categories, using publicly available transcripts and news coverage.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Trump’s recent social media posts, polling data on voter sentiment, and any pre-interview statements or leaks from his team may all influence trader expectations. Additionally, broader political developments — such as competing headlines or policy announcements — could affect how traders price the likelihood of different statements in the upcoming interview.