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What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?

Volume:
$283,665

Event does not qualify

 - Kalshi

Event does not qualify - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 1:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,796
N/A
N/A
$25,381
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deal / Settle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,245
N/A
N/A
$29,127
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,029
N/A
N/A
$14,578
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,791
N/A
N/A
$15,114
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,421
N/A
N/A
$16,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,463
N/A
N/A
$11,006
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,093
N/A
N/A
$10,740
Settled
No
kalshi

Gaza / Palestine / Palestinian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,611
N/A
N/A
$8,487
Settled
No
kalshi

Blockade

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,335
N/A
N/A
$8,457
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,996
N/A
N/A
$8,877
Settled
No
kalshi

Peace in the Middle East

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,955
N/A
N/A
$7,384
Settled
No
kalshi

Hamas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,550
N/A
N/A
$6,185
Settled
No
kalshi

Lebanon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,544
N/A
N/A
$6,372
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,488
N/A
N/A
$7,232
Settled
No
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,144
N/A
N/A
$5,014
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,693
N/A
N/A
$5,364
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,392
N/A
N/A
$4,657
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,191
N/A
N/A
$4,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Saudi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,677
N/A
N/A
$3,219
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,430
N/A
N/A
$3,982
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,258
N/A
N/A
$4,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,905
N/A
N/A
$2,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,749
N/A
N/A
$1,901
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,196
N/A
N/A
$2,059
Settled
No
kalshi

Venezuela

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,110
N/A
N/A
$1,517
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

The event tracks specific phrases that Donald Trump might mention during an official meeting with the Prime Minister of Israel. Resolution depends on whether Trump utters any of the predefined terms while speaking in an official capacity during a live, press-accessible broadcast.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Donald Trump’s verbal statements during an official, live-broadcast meeting with the Prime Minister of Israel. The event requires Trump to speak in an official capacity; mere presence or off-mic comments do not count. Resolution primarily uses video footage, with transcripts as a backup if needed. If the event is canceled or fails to meet criteria (e.g., no official statement), the "Event does not qualify" market wins, and all others lose. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Each market specifies a unique phrase or set of phrases—if Trump uses the exact word, its plural, or possessive form during the meeting, that market resolves to Yes. The criteria exclude archival footage or unrelated recordings, focusing solely on the live event.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market reflects the aggregated view of active traders who may weigh additional variables or recent developments not fully captured in traditional polling or commentary. While analysts offer informed predictions, the market price incorporates real-time sentiment and can diverge noticeably based on emerging headlines or shifting geopolitics.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts that pay out based on specific phrases or topics mentioned. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusting whenever new data about the meeting surfaces. Volume of $283,665 shows overall interest, while recent trades of $280,442 indicate short-term momentum. Prices can shift quickly with polls, analyst commentary, or breaking news before Aug 12, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will hinge on authoritative transcripts, verified statements, and news coverage of the actual remarks exchanged during the meeting, ensuring an objective assessment against market-defined criteria.

Several signals could affect this market before it resolves around Aug 12, 2026. Major moves may come from pre-meeting statements by either leader, polling data on public sentiment, expert analysis of likely talking points, or unexpected geopolitical developments. Media coverage framing the meeting as confrontational or cooperative can also shift trader views. Any last-minute changes to the agenda or notable absences will likely cause rapid price adjustments as the event approaches.