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What will Trump say during his GB News interview?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his GB News interview?

Volume:
$79,778

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

 - Kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 3:10 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,296
N/A
N/A
$6,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

King

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,320
N/A
N/A
$3,895
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,439
N/A
N/A
$3,225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Prince Harry / Meghan

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,353
N/A
N/A
$2,976
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,080
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,031
N/A
N/A
$1,821
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Immigration / Immigration

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,981
N/A
N/A
$1,937
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Venezuela

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
$1,975
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
$1,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,827
N/A
N/A
$1,695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,805
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,507
N/A
N/A
$1,504
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,545
N/A
N/A
$5,204
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,295
N/A
N/A
$4,912
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
$4,597
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,668
N/A
N/A
$3,890
Settled
No
kalshi

Canada / Canadian

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,473
N/A
N/A
$3,726
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,300
N/A
N/A
$4,097
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,483
N/A
N/A
$2,714
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,489
N/A
N/A
$1,924
Settled
No
kalshi

Andy Burnham

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,010
N/A
N/A
$1,801
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,949
N/A
N/A
$1,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,912
N/A
N/A
$1,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,625
N/A
N/A
$1,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Greenland

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
$1,522
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks specific phrases Donald Trump might mention during a scheduled GB News interview. The outcome depends on whether Trump utters any of the predefined terms while speaking in an official capacity during the broadcast.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump mentions any of the specified phrases during his GB News interview scheduled for September 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., names, topics, or terms). The market resolves to Yes if Trump says the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, in an official capacity during the live broadcast or stream. Video footage and official transcripts serve as the primary evidence. Markets resolve to No if the phrase isn’t mentioned. If the interview is definitively canceled or fails to meet payout criteria, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump GB News interview market displays the current odds for various statements or topics that Donald Trump might mention during his interview. You can view the price history of each outcome, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $27,951, and the total market volume, which is $79,778. This provides a clear picture of market activity and where traders are focusing their attention regarding potential statements from the former president.

Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically base their predictions on established frameworks and expertise, while this market aggregates the views of a wider range of participants, potentially capturing nuanced information or overlooked factors. If analysts consistently overestimate or underestimate the probability of certain statements, discrepancies will emerge. The dynamic nature of this market allows for rapid adjustments to probabilities as new information becomes available, something that static analyst forecasts may not reflect as quickly.

On Kalshi, this market operates as a continuous-double auction, meaning traders actively buy and sell contracts corresponding to different potential statements from Donald Trump. The price of each contract directly represents the market's implied probability of that statement being made during the interview. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information and perspectives enter the system. The current volume of $79,778 demonstrates active trading and a high level of engagement with this event.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of the interview, determining whether each statement included in the market was actually uttered by Donald Trump. The market will determine which outcomes are considered 'yes' or 'no' based on the presence or absence of the specified phrases or topics within the interview content. The outcome will be based on the complete interview, not excerpts or summaries.

Several key signals could move this market significantly between now and its resolution around Sep 18, 2026. Any official previews or teasers released by GB News regarding the interview’s focus would be impactful. Unexpected developments in ongoing legal cases involving Trump, or major shifts in his public stance on key issues, could also drive substantial changes in the odds. Furthermore, any controversies or gaffes made by Trump in the days leading up to the interview could influence expectations about his likely talking points, causing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.