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What will Trump say during his cabinet meeting?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his cabinet meeting?

Volume:
$541,857

Transgender

 - Kalshi

Transgender - Kalshi

1W

News

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Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 1:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Transgender

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,769
N/A
N/A
$40,108
Settled
Yes
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First Term

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,731
N/A
N/A
$29,635
Settled
Yes
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China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,125
N/A
N/A
$21,075
Settled
Yes
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Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,623
N/A
N/A
$9,394
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,506
N/A
N/A
$11,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,470
N/A
N/A
$8,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,142
N/A
N/A
$7,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,885
N/A
N/A
$7,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Border

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,227
N/A
N/A
$4,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,226
N/A
N/A
$9,017
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,962
N/A
N/A
$7,516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,574
N/A
N/A
$6,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drone

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,870
N/A
N/A
$5,435
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,939
N/A
N/A
$4,989
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deal / Settle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,309
N/A
N/A
$2,648
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,245
N/A
N/A
$3,217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,256
N/A
N/A
$2,017
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,754
N/A
N/A
$33,472
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,898
N/A
N/A
$31,670
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,205
N/A
N/A
$34,587
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,733
N/A
N/A
$22,679
Settled
No
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumocrat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,765
N/A
N/A
$24,204
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,979
N/A
N/A
$16,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Fauci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,460
N/A
N/A
$19,019
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,796
N/A
N/A
$21,754
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say specific phrases during an official cabinet meeting, focusing on politically charged or topical language. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome is 1.0%, and the second outcome also stands at 1.0%. The resolution source is based on whether Trump mentions Afford, Affordable, or Affordability during the meeting. Watch for the cabinet meeting scheduled for 2026-08-15, as this is the key event that will determine the market outcome.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each tied to a specific phrase or term that Donald Trump may say during an official cabinet meeting. A market resolves to Yes if Trump uses the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, during the meeting, provided the session is live-broadcast or streamed and Trump is speaking in an official capacity. Video footage is the primary source for resolution, with official transcripts used as a backup if needed. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or Trump does not speak officially, all markets resolve to No. Each market operates independently, with identical verification processes and criteria.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price trends for the Trump cabinet remarks market, alongside 24-hour volume of $541,577. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on expected statements from the event. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and shifts in sentiment leading up to the cabinet meeting.

On Kalshi, odds for this market reflect trader sentiment rather than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer their interpretations of likely statements, the market price incorporates a broad range of views, news developments, and betting patterns. Traders often react faster to new information than published analyses, which can cause the market odds to diverge from expert predictions before Aug 15, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact remarks made during the meeting will be compared against market outcomes to determine which option aligns most closely with what actually occurred.

Media previews, leaked excerpts, or statements from advisors could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any unexpected developments in political dynamics or agenda changes leading up to the meeting may cause traders to adjust their bets, especially if they signal a higher or lower probability of certain phrases being used.