TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Trump say during his Bilateral meetings in Turkey?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his Bilateral meetings in Turkey?

Volume:
$703,771

Putin

 - Kalshi

Putin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 4:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Putin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,360
N/A
N/A
$15,945
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,024
N/A
N/A
$11,977
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,416
N/A
N/A
$8,345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,293
N/A
N/A
$8,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,459
N/A
N/A
$6,230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drone

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,452
N/A
N/A
$5,954
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bibi / Netanyahu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,247
N/A
N/A
$4,590
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91,919
N/A
N/A
$33,397
Settled
No
kalshi

Spain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,983
N/A
N/A
$34,893
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,028
N/A
N/A
$25,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,250
N/A
N/A
$35,348
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,360
N/A
N/A
$33,316
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,828
N/A
N/A
$30,211
Settled
No
kalshi

Peace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,058
N/A
N/A
$13,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,176
N/A
N/A
$21,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,370
N/A
N/A
$20,256
Settled
No
kalshi

World Cup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,234
N/A
N/A
$19,606
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,103
N/A
N/A
$11,245
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,834
N/A
N/A
$17,078
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,230
N/A
N/A
$16,902
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,570
N/A
N/A
$10,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,280
N/A
N/A
$9,685
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,750
N/A
N/A
$6,767
Settled
No
kalshi

Sleepy Joe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,890
N/A
N/A
$8,077
Settled
No
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,533
N/A
N/A
$5,794
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Donald Trump will mention Biden during bilateral meetings scheduled for July 8th in Turkey. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by live broadcast or stream footage of the meetings, with official transcripts serving as backup if video consensus cannot be established. Watch for the July 8th bilateral meetings in Turkey, as the event window on that date will provide the definitive footage needed for market resolution.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity during a press-open, live televised or streamed bilateral meeting in Turkey on July 8th. Each market resolves Yes if Trump uses the exact phrase or word specified (including plural or possessive forms), with grammatical/tense inflections otherwise excluded. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Resolution uses live broadcast or stream video as primary evidence; official transcripts serve as backup if video consensus cannot be reached. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times, places, or events do not count. Private conversations, inaudible remarks, and unofficial statements picked up on hot mics do not qualify. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify under these criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves Yes and all other markets resolve No. If postponed with announcement by end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

The the Trump Turkey bilateral meetings market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity around what Donald Trump will say during bilateral meetings in Turkey. The dashboard displays current market prices, 24-hour volume of $699,169, and historical price movements. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment as new statements, diplomatic developments, or media coverage emerge. The market aggregates collective forecasts from participants betting on specific statements or remarks Trump may make during these high-profile talks, offering a dynamic snapshot of prediction market conviction.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than static polling or expert opinion. In this market, traders are wagering on what Trump will actually say, creating a self-correcting mechanism as new information surfaces. Analysts may rely on historical patterns or prepared talking points, while prediction markets incorporate breaking news, diplomatic signals, and market participants' direct exposure to accuracy. This dynamic pricing typically captures nuance that surveys miss, though both approaches offer complementary perspectives on likely outcomes.

This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the bilateral meetings conclude and Trump's statements are documented. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting, including official transcripts, video records, and major news coverage of the meetings. Resolution hinges on verifying which specific statements or remarks Trump made during the bilateral discussions, with the winning outcome determined by the statements that actually occurred. Traders should monitor official channels and reputable news sources as the event date approaches.

Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Diplomatic tensions or public statements from Turkish officials may signal Trump's likely talking points. Media leaks or pre-meeting briefings could hint at agenda priorities. Changes in geopolitical conditions—sanctions, trade disputes, or security concerns—often influence bilateral meeting rhetoric. Trump's recent public comments on Turkey or related issues may be priced in as traders anticipate consistency or shifts. Finally, unexpected developments in the days before the meetings, such as breaking news or policy announcements, could reshape market expectations around what he will emphasize during these talks.