TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on tracking specific phrases Donald Trump might use during an official announcement about ratepayer protections. The outcome depends on whether he includes certain exact words or phrases in his speech, with resolution based on live broadcast or official transcripts.
The event centers on Donald Trump’s Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge, requiring it to be a live, press-accessible broadcast or stream for validity. Resolution relies primarily on video footage, with official transcripts as a backup if consensus cannot be reached. Trump must speak in an official capacity; mere presence or off-mic comments do not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unresolved, the "Event does not qualify" market wins, nullifying others. Each subordinate market resolves to Yes only if Trump utters the specified exact phrase (including plural/possessive forms) during the announcement; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that correspond to different possible statements. The current implied probability reflects what participants believe is most likely to happen based on available information, news, and analysis. Market depth and liquidity, represented by a volume of $478,203, help determine how smoothly prices adjust to new developments.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will compare Trump’s actual statement to the defined outcome categories immediately after the announcement. The market settles based on what was publicly said during the specified time window, ensuring an objective and transparent process.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major news about Trump’s preparations, commentary from advisors, polling data on public reaction to potential statements, and any official releases or drafts that preview the announcement. Unexpected developments such as legal challenges, economic reports, or political scandals could also influence trader sentiment. Volume of $411,626 may surge around these events as participants react.