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What will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare?

Volume:
$628,973

Mehmet / Oz

 - Kalshi

Mehmet / Oz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 4:55 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mehmet / Oz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,680
N/A
N/A
$13,665
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Autism / Autistic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,435
N/A
N/A
$13,052
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Iran (2+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,079
N/A
N/A
$11,544
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Obamacare

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,446
N/A
N/A
$9,539
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Medicare / Medicaid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,791
N/A
N/A
$10,814
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Favored Nation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,554
N/A
N/A
$11,974
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Kennedy / RFK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,165
N/A
N/A
$9,195
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,637
N/A
N/A
$6,294
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,787
N/A
N/A
$6,640
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,652
N/A
N/A
$6,221
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Subsidy / Subsidize / Subsidized

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,113
N/A
N/A
$4,594
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,208
N/A
N/A
$3,632
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

TrumpRX

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,698
N/A
N/A
$3,224
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Pharma / Pharmaceutical

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,672
N/A
N/A
$3,400
2d 18h 32m
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282,086
N/A
N/A
$263,321
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Transparent / Transparency

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,125
N/A
N/A
$54,565
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,802
N/A
N/A
$31,898
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,443
N/A
N/A
$21,332
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Ozempic / GLP-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,824
N/A
N/A
$12,410
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Cancer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,449
N/A
N/A
$11,826
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,247
N/A
N/A
$8,245
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Health Savings Account / HSA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,186
N/A
N/A
$7,186
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Insulin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,779
N/A
N/A
$4,362
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Pfizer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,416
N/A
N/A
$4,914
2d 18h 32m
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,605
N/A
N/A
$4,453
2d 18h 32m
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event tracks specific phrases Donald Trump might mention during a healthcare announcement. The outcome depends on whether Trump includes certain keywords or topics in his official address, with resolution based on live broadcasts or transcripts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during his official healthcare announcement scheduled for September 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or term; if Trump says the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity during the live broadcast, that market resolves to Yes. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live stream, with official transcripts used as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Grammatical variations, inaudible private remarks, and content from unrelated recordings do not count. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, closing all others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump healthcare announcement market tracks the current odds for various statements or topics that Donald Trump might mention during his announcement regarding healthcare policy. You’ll find a price history chart showing how those odds have fluctuated over time, reflecting trader sentiment. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $583,157, and the total volume traded to date, which is $628,973. This provides a clear overview of market activity and how traders are positioning themselves on potential outcomes.

Currently, it’s important to note that analysts’ forecasts regarding the specifics of Trump’s healthcare announcement vary widely, with many focusing on broad policy directions rather than specific phrases. This market allows for a more granular view of expectations, as traders are directly assessing the probability of particular statements being made. While analyst predictions offer valuable context, they often lack the precision of a prediction market, where real money is at stake and traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the event. This dynamic can lead to differences between the two, offering unique insights.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving traders insight into potential price movements and the strength of conviction behind various predictions.

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Donald Trump’s healthcare announcement. The market will determine whether each statement listed in the market was explicitly made during the announcement. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official record of the event, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before its resolution. Any statements made by Trump or his campaign team hinting at his healthcare priorities would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major news reports detailing potential policy changes or the individuals advising Trump on healthcare could also move the market. Unexpected political developments, such as legislative actions or Supreme Court rulings related to healthcare, could also influence trader sentiment. The closer we get to Oct 2, 2026, the more sensitive this market will become to any new information.