TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific phrases during a live announcement related to Freedom Haulers. The resolution depends on the exact wording used during the official, televised address.
All markets resolve based on Donald Trump’s exact verbal mentions during a live, press-accessible announcement on Freedom Haulers. The primary evidence for resolution comes from video of the event; if unclear, official transcripts are used. Markets resolve to Yes only if Trump utters the specified phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity—private or off-mic comments do not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise fails to meet qualification criteria (e.g., not televised), the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, nullifying all others. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
Media previews, early excerpts from Trump’s speech, and reactions from advisors or political allies could shift this market. Any surprise language or emphasis in the announcement may cause rapid price changes, especially as the event draws closer. Traders will also watch for polling updates or competing statements that frame expectations ahead of the speech.