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Science and Technology
What will Trump say during his announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?

Volume:
$610,033

National Security

 - Kalshi

National Security - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 4:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

National Security

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,761
N/A
N/A
$12,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,861
N/A
N/A
$12,931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,710
N/A
N/A
$16,192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,991
N/A
N/A
$14,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Invest / Invested / Investment

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,405
N/A
N/A
$10,657
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hottest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,964
N/A
N/A
$12,789
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saudi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,732
N/A
N/A
$8,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,767
N/A
N/A
$10,283
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,469
N/A
N/A
$9,615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,280
N/A
N/A
$9,566
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,913
N/A
N/A
$7,483
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Coal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,848
N/A
N/A
$7,314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,253
N/A
N/A
$8,065
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,787
N/A
N/A
$6,722
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,558
N/A
N/A
$6,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,395
N/A
N/A
$5,842
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Windmill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,329
N/A
N/A
$6,554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,398
N/A
N/A
$4,643
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Venezuela

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,552
N/A
N/A
$5,294
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73,416
N/A
N/A
$72,178
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,992
N/A
N/A
$43,127
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,715
N/A
N/A
$38,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Data Center

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,685
N/A
N/A
$30,927
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,229
N/A
N/A
$17,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,265
N/A
N/A
$18,130
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific phrases during his announcement on American Nuclear Innovation. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome is 100.0%, with the second outcome also at 100.0%, according to the resolution source which depends on Trump's exact wording during the announcement. The outcome will be determined by Trump's speech on August 8, 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during a live, press-accessible announcement on American nuclear innovation. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or term; if Trump uses the exact phrase (including plural or possessive forms) during the official address, that market resolves positively. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the event, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if video consensus cannot be reached. The announcement must occur live and be open to the press; pre-recorded or separate content does not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond the allowed window, or Trump fails to speak officially during the stream, all markets resolve negatively. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this event often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven speculation. Where analysts issue detailed probability ranges based on policy analysis, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to news, polling shifts, and campaign signaling. Discrepancies can arise when market momentum favors an outcome analysts deem unlikely, or when fresh data emerges after reports are published. Monitoring both sources offers a fuller view of anticipation surrounding the speech.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch the speech transcript, fact-checked media recaps, and authoritative summaries to determine which market outcome matches what was actually said.