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What will Trump say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Volume:
$366,353

Iran (3+ times)

 - Kalshi

Iran (3+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 2:25 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,625
N/A
N/A
$42,386
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Radical Left

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,944
N/A
N/A
$25,744
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,109
N/A
N/A
$13,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,296
N/A
N/A
$9,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,166
N/A
N/A
$9,020
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,750
N/A
N/A
$6,699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,321
N/A
N/A
$6,441
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,531
N/A
N/A
$6,680
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,466
N/A
N/A
$31,922
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,579
N/A
N/A
$16,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Air Force One

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,859
N/A
N/A
$14,114
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,142
N/A
N/A
$12,716
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,992
N/A
N/A
$12,326
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,570
N/A
N/A
$10,996
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,674
N/A
N/A
$9,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,622
N/A
N/A
$10,457
Settled
No
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,381
N/A
N/A
$9,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,495
N/A
N/A
$7,404
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,160
N/A
N/A
$6,690
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,631
N/A
N/A
$6,547
Settled
No
kalshi

Healthcare

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,411
N/A
N/A
$5,310
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,286
N/A
N/A
$5,441
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,398
N/A
N/A
$4,615
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,234
N/A
N/A
$4,093
Settled
No
kalshi

Save America Act

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,040
N/A
N/A
$3,782
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific topics or phrases during his next official White House livestream after a set date, excluding certain remarks. The resolution depends on his verbal content during the broadcast, focusing on exact phrase usage in an official capacity.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple conditions centered around Donald Trump’s verbal statements during his next official White House livestream following August 12th, 2026, at 10:35 pm ET, excluding Remarks in Nassau County, New York. Each sub-market resolves to Yes if Trump uses the specified exact phrase, word, or its plural/possessive form during the livestream while speaking officially. Resolution primarily relies on video analysis from the White House YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse); if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as secondary verification. The livestream must be press-accessible and feature Trump speaking officially—private or off-mic comments do not count. Additional streams may supplement judgment if technical issues arise or the primary stream ends prematurely. Archival or unrelated content does not qualify. All sub-markets share these core procedural rules, differing only in the target phrase.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market’s odds reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize policy themes or political strategy, traders are focusing on specific, mention-based outcomes that could shape the speech’s tone. The gap between these views can highlight areas where market participants expect surprise language or emphasis that polling and traditional analysis might overlook, making this market a complementary signal to expert predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The speech content will be parsed against defined criteria, and the matching phrase or theme will settle the contract. Timing aligns with the broadcast window, ensuring a clear post-event verification path.