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What will Trump say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Volume:
$572,122

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

 - Kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 4:45 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,039
N/A
N/A
$17,590
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,502
N/A
N/A
$10,817
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,948
N/A
N/A
$11,122
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,100
N/A
N/A
$9,954
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,117
N/A
N/A
$11,340
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden Age

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,071
N/A
N/A
$6,028
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,291
N/A
N/A
$16,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,823
N/A
N/A
$26,158
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,128
N/A
N/A
$18,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,621
N/A
N/A
$21,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,972
N/A
N/A
$18,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,771
N/A
N/A
$15,142
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,796
N/A
N/A
$18,162
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,689
N/A
N/A
$15,203
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,379
N/A
N/A
$12,398
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,201
N/A
N/A
$12,015
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,073
N/A
N/A
$11,889
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,178
N/A
N/A
$15,604
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,619
N/A
N/A
$12,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,702
N/A
N/A
$12,835
Settled
No
kalshi

Alien

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,997
N/A
N/A
$11,725
Settled
No
kalshi

World Cup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,216
N/A
N/A
$14,826
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,312
N/A
N/A
$10,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,321
N/A
N/A
$8,220
Settled
No
kalshi

First Term

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,468
N/A
N/A
$6,571
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific keywords during his next official White House livestream after a set date, excluding certain locations. The resolution depends on his verbal acknowledgment of predefined terms during a press-accessible broadcast.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Donald Trump utters any of the specified phrases during his first official White House livestream on the main YouTube channel after August 4th, 2026 at 10:00 am ET, excluding any remarks made in Las Vegas, Nevada. The market resolves based on video footage primarily, with transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. The livestream must be an official, press-accessible event, and Trump must speak in an official capacity for the market to qualify. Pre-recorded content, archival footage, or off-mic statements are excluded from consideration. Technical difficulties allow for alternative streaming sources if the primary feed fails.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump announcement speech market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the outcome of the Trump announcement speech market, along with a chart of its price history and current 24-hour volume of $388,386. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements or themes emerging from the speech.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a collective trader assessment of what Trump is likely to emphasize, often showing sharper or more volatile expectations than traditional polling or commentary. Where analysts offer broad probabilities, this market can highlight emerging trader sentiment or betting patterns that shift ahead of publicly released forecasts.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the speech is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on analyzing the content of the address against the defined statement categories, and the market will close based on that verified public record.