TOTAL VOLUME:

$146.6b

24H VOL:

$161,047,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,781,800,361

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,744,915,607

504,917

Markets across

37,612

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,946

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Trump say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Volume:
$181,617

Super Intelligence

 - Kalshi

Super Intelligence - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 11:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Super Intelligence

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,424
N/A
N/A
$8,035
1w 3d 19h
Yes
kalshi

Healthcare

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,169
N/A
N/A
$5,380
1w 3d 19h
Yes
kalshi

Foster / Fostering

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,938
N/A
N/A
$3,699
1w 3d 19h
Yes
kalshi

Be Best

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,761
N/A
N/A
$3,736
1w 3d 19h
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,182
N/A
N/A
$2,703
1w 3d 19h
Yes
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,576
N/A
N/A
$16,789
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,715
N/A
N/A
$16,647
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,848
N/A
N/A
$13,733
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,783
N/A
N/A
$8,964
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Biden

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,724
N/A
N/A
$7,751
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Education

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,532
N/A
N/A
$8,190
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Billion / Trillion

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,830
N/A
N/A
$7,180
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,269
N/A
N/A
$5,566
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Invest / Invested / Investment

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,744
N/A
N/A
$4,765
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Social Media

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,647
N/A
N/A
$4,750
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Peace / Peaceful

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,085
N/A
N/A
$3,682
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Housing / Homeless

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,908
N/A
N/A
$3,553
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Take It Down

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,711
N/A
N/A
$3,383
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Tax Cut

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,614
N/A
N/A
$3,078
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,585
N/A
N/A
$3,043
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Trump Account

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,164
N/A
N/A
$2,849
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

School Choice

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,879
N/A
N/A
$2,611
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Fentanyl

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,345
N/A
N/A
$1,943
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Adopt / Adopted / Adoption

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,949
N/A
N/A
$1,788
1w 3d 19h
No
kalshi

Scholarship

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,807
N/A
N/A
$1,630
1w 3d 19h
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event tracks specific phrases Donald Trump might use during an official ceremony and announcement scheduled for October 19, 2026. The outcome depends on whether he utters any of the predefined keywords during his speech, with resolution based on live broadcast or official transcripts.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist under this event, each tied to a specific phrase or term that Donald Trump may say during the Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement scheduled for October 19, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if Trump utters the exact phrase—or its plural/possessive form—during the live broadcast of the event while speaking in an official capacity. Resolution relies primarily on video from the live stream; if unclear, official transcripts are used. Certain conditions disqualify payouts, such as private conversations, archival footage, or unauthenticated statements. If the event is canceled, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' nullifying others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these consistent verification and disqualification protocols.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions within this market to traditional analyst forecasts. While polls and expert opinions offer perspectives on potential themes in the announcement, this market reflects a different type of prediction – what traders are willing to put their money on. This allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, potentially revealing insights that differ from those presented in conventional analysis. The dynamic nature of this market means the odds can shift rapidly based on new information and changing perceptions, unlike static analyst predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of the full transcript or reliable video recording of the announcement, identifying whether the specified statements were made. The focus is on the content of the announcement itself, and the outcome will be determined by a clear assessment of what was actually said. Traders should monitor news sources leading up to and following the announcement for updates on the resolution process.