TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events for the G7 Summit from 7PM Central European Time June 15, 2026 through 10PM Central European Time June 17, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between 7PM Central European Time June 15, 2026 and 10PM Central European Time June 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events for the G7 Summit from 7PM Central European Time June 15, 2026 through 10PM Central European Time June 17, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between 7PM Central European Time June 15, 2026 and 10PM Central European Time June 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Prediction market odds and polling averages measure different things but can inform each other. Polls capture stated preferences or opinions at a single moment, while this market aggregates real-money bets from traders who have financial incentives to forecast accurately. Markets often respond faster to breaking news and incorporate private information traders possess. However, both tools have limitations: polls may suffer from response bias, and markets can be influenced by a small number of large traders. Comparing the two provides a more complete picture than relying on either alone.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying and selling pressure directly moves the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome in the market has a price between 0 and 100 cents, representing the implied probability that outcome will occur. As traders buy shares of an outcome, its price rises; as they sell, it falls. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and trader sentiment about Trump's statements at G7 events.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the G7 event concludes and Trump's statements are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether specific remarks or policy positions attributed to Trump during the summit match the outcome criteria defined at market creation. Traders should monitor official statements, press conferences, and reputable news coverage in the days leading up to and during the event to assess how likely each outcome has become.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Pre-summit statements from Trump or other G7 leaders about agenda items may signal his likely positions. Media coverage and political commentary can influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical developments—trade tensions, security concerns, or diplomatic incidents—could prompt Trump to take public stances that traders hadn't fully priced in. Additionally, leaks or previews of his planned remarks, as well as real-time updates during the actual G7 events, will drive rapid repricing as the market approaches its end date.