TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 10:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific phrases that Donald Trump might mention during a Fox News: Fox & Friends broadcast. The outcome depends on whether Trump uses any of the predefined keywords during the show while speaking in an official capacity.
The event resolves based on Donald Trump's use of specific phrases during the Fox News: Fox & Friends broadcast. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Biden", "Hottest", "Stock Market"). The market resolves to Yes if Trump utters the exact phrase or any of its plural/possessive forms during the live broadcast, provided he is speaking in an official capacity. Video footage is the primary source for verification, with transcripts used as a secondary reference if needed. Promotional content during the show counts, but advertisements and previously aired material do not. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond the allowed window, or otherwise unable to proceed normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through ordered bids and asks, creating a continuous order book that determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s market price reflects aggregated trader sentiment about which quote is most likely to be spoken, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. Volume of $246,790 helps indicate how much interest is driving price discovery on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. After the Fox & Friends interview airs, moderators will compare the actual quotes spoken against the market’s listed options, using widely reported transcripts or video archives to determine the correct result.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-event polls tracking voter reactions to early Trump rhetoric, major news coverage analyzing likely talking points, and any last-minute changes to the interview schedule or format. Direct statements from Trump or his campaign about themes he plans to emphasize can also cause rapid price swings, as traders adjust for new information about which quotes are most probable.