TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will Trump say during Fox News: Fox & Friends?
kalshi

What will Trump say during Fox News: Fox & Friends?

Volume:
$246,790

Hottest

 - Kalshi

Hottest - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 10:36 AM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hottest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,788
N/A
N/A
$8,050
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,557
N/A
N/A
$8,306
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,543
N/A
N/A
$7,206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,217
N/A
N/A
$5,558
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,661
N/A
N/A
$3,646
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,460
N/A
N/A
$2,902
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,874
N/A
N/A
$3,030
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,936
N/A
N/A
$23,102
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,480
N/A
N/A
$15,713
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,051
N/A
N/A
$15,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,194
N/A
N/A
$10,255
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,132
N/A
N/A
$12,900
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,292
N/A
N/A
$7,824
Settled
No
kalshi

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,113
N/A
N/A
$8,254
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,073
N/A
N/A
$12,235
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,256
N/A
N/A
$7,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,102
N/A
N/A
$7,506
Settled
No
kalshi

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,345
N/A
N/A
$6,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,247
N/A
N/A
$7,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,084
N/A
N/A
$6,610
Settled
No
kalshi

Hoax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,595
N/A
N/A
$6,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Drone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,794
N/A
N/A
$3,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,267
N/A
N/A
$3,239
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,621
N/A
N/A
$2,288
Settled
No
kalshi

Drill Baby Drill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,108
N/A
N/A
$1,817
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event tracks specific phrases that Donald Trump might mention during a Fox News: Fox & Friends broadcast. The outcome depends on whether Trump uses any of the predefined keywords during the show while speaking in an official capacity.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Donald Trump's use of specific phrases during the Fox News: Fox & Friends broadcast. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Biden", "Hottest", "Stock Market"). The market resolves to Yes if Trump utters the exact phrase or any of its plural/possessive forms during the live broadcast, provided he is speaking in an official capacity. Video footage is the primary source for verification, with transcripts used as a secondary reference if needed. Promotional content during the show counts, but advertisements and previously aired material do not. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond the allowed window, or otherwise unable to proceed normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump Fox News quotes market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for this prediction market, along with 24-hour volume of $246,301. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different quote outcomes from the Fox & Friends appearance, updated continuously throughout trading.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through ordered bids and asks, creating a continuous order book that determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s market price reflects aggregated trader sentiment about which quote is most likely to be spoken, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. Volume of $246,790 helps indicate how much interest is driving price discovery on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. After the Fox & Friends interview airs, moderators will compare the actual quotes spoken against the market’s listed options, using widely reported transcripts or video archives to determine the correct result.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-event polls tracking voter reactions to early Trump rhetoric, major news coverage analyzing likely talking points, and any last-minute changes to the interview schedule or format. Direct statements from Trump or his campaign about themes he plans to emphasize can also cause rapid price swings, as traders adjust for new information about which quotes are most probable.