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What will Trump say during Fox News at Night?
kalshi

What will Trump say during Fox News at Night?

Volume:
$562,144

Fake News

 - Kalshi

Fake News - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 12:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73,189
N/A
N/A
$70,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,249
N/A
N/A
$51,621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,323
N/A
N/A
$20,949
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,039
N/A
N/A
$13,712
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Inflation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,454
N/A
N/A
$10,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,926
N/A
N/A
$11,633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,062
N/A
N/A
$10,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,936
N/A
N/A
$7,798
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,003
N/A
N/A
$9,476
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,703
N/A
N/A
$7,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz / Strait

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,607
N/A
N/A
$9,526
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,742
N/A
N/A
$6,634
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Venezuela

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,893
N/A
N/A
$7,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manufacturing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,351
N/A
N/A
$4,832
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,441
N/A
N/A
$4,555
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,894
N/A
N/A
$37,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,264
N/A
N/A
$33,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,389
N/A
N/A
$17,699
Settled
No
kalshi

Last Chance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,833
N/A
N/A
$10,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Save America Act

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,325
N/A
N/A
$12,202
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,745
N/A
N/A
$9,284
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,368
N/A
N/A
$12,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Gavin / Newsom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,224
N/A
N/A
$8,051
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,866
N/A
N/A
$8,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Blanche

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,582
N/A
N/A
$7,908
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will say the word RINO during the Fox News at Night broadcast, focusing on specific political phrases he might mention. On Kalshi, the current probability for Trump saying RINO stands at 99.0%, with resolution based on the actual broadcast content. The outcome will be determined by the show on August 19, 2026, so keep an eye on that specific broadcast date for resolution.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple individual markets, each defined by a specific phrase or term that Donald Trump may say during the Fox News at Night broadcast. A market resolves to Yes if Trump utters the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, during the live broadcast while speaking in an official capacity. The resolution primarily uses video footage from the broadcast, with official transcripts serving as a backup if video consensus cannot be reached. Promotional content during the show counts toward resolution, but advertisements and content from outside the live broadcast do not. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond the allowed window, or Trump does not speak officially during the stream, all markets resolve to No. Each market operates independently, with its own criteria for phrase matching and resolution procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the speech is verifiable from credible public sources such as broadcast transcripts, reputable news coverage, or official fact-checking reports. The exact determination depends on whether the specific statement or theme in question is clearly articulated during the address, as evaluated against the market’s defined criteria. After the event, the market will close and pay out based on the verified content.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 19, 2026. Direct statements from Trump’s campaign about speech topics, Fox News promotional material revealing guest questions or themes, and polling data showing public interest in specific issues will all influence trader sentiment. Media coverage anticipating the broadcast, especially from right-leaning outlets, may frame expectations and drive volume of $562,144. Any last-minute changes to Trump’s schedule or health, plus emerging political controversies, could also cause rapid price swings as participants reassess likely content.