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What will Trump say during Fox & Friends?
kalshi

What will Trump say during Fox & Friends?

Volume:
$225,950

Israel / Israeli

 - Kalshi

Israel / Israeli - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 10:42 AM EST

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View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,497
N/A
N/A
$12,186
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,844
N/A
N/A
$10,495
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,107
N/A
N/A
$6,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,389
N/A
N/A
$4,895
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,313
N/A
N/A
$3,162
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,436
N/A
N/A
$2,242
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,130
N/A
N/A
$26,872
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,638
N/A
N/A
$23,302
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,573
N/A
N/A
$20,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,224
N/A
N/A
$18,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,806
N/A
N/A
$12,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,652
N/A
N/A
$10,495
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,654
N/A
N/A
$9,756
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,721
N/A
N/A
$6,325
Settled
No
kalshi

UFC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,153
N/A
N/A
$5,873
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,030
N/A
N/A
$5,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Ballroom / Pool

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,604
N/A
N/A
$5,180
Settled
No
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,312
N/A
N/A
$4,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Hottest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,358
N/A
N/A
$3,787
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,241
N/A
N/A
$3,596
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,120
N/A
N/A
$3,270
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE / National Guard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,637
N/A
N/A
$3,509
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,875
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,693
N/A
N/A
$1,981
Settled
No
kalshi

Barack Hussein Obama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,669
N/A
N/A
$1,552
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

Donald Trump is scheduled to appear on Fox News's Fox & Friends morning show. These markets track whether he mentions specific words or phrases during his live on-air remarks, using video and official transcripts as primary resolution sources.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast or stream of Fox News: Fox & Friends. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts; additional content, advertisements, archival footage, and previously aired material do not count. Promotional content aired during the event does count. Video is the primary resolution source; if consensus cannot be reached via video, official internal and external transcripts are used. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, or if Trump does not speak in an official capacity (such as inaudible private conversations or unofficial hot mic statements), the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump Fox & Friends appearance market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for what statements or topics Trump may mention during a Fox & Friends segment. The dashboard displays current market prices, 24-hour volume of $223,706, and historical price movements, allowing traders to monitor shifting expectations as new information emerges. This market reflects collective trader sentiment on specific remarks or announcements, updated continuously as participants buy and sell positions ahead of the appearance.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants rather than relying on a single expert opinion. Traders in this market have direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately, which can lead to faster incorporation of breaking news or shifting political sentiment. While analysts may publish periodic reports, this market updates continuously, sometimes reflecting public expectations more dynamically than conventional polling or commentary.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to specific outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring, ranging from near-zero to near-certain. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, and prices move to reflect updated consensus expectations.

This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the Fox & Friends appearance concludes and statements can be verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether Trump's remarks match the specific claims or topics embedded in each contract. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for reliable confirmation from news sources and broadcast records, ensuring accuracy before final settlement.

Major political developments, breaking news about Trump's schedule, or public statements from Fox News could shift trader expectations significantly. Market prices may also react to recent Trump appearances on other media outlets, shifts in political momentum, or unexpected announcements that change the likelihood of certain topics being discussed. As the appearance date approaches, increased media speculation and insider commentary typically drive heightened trading activity and price volatility in this market.