TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Politics
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)
polymarket

What will Trump post by September 27?

Volume:
$5,406

President Xi

 - Polymarket

President Xi - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 9:26 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

President Xi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
10¢
N/A
$1,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rigged

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
8.7¢
N/A
$841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Deranged / Derangement

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

China

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Russia

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Terrorism

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fool

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Putin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scam

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between September 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for 'hello'), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between September 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for 'hello'), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polls. While polls attempt to gauge stated opinions, this market reflects what people are willing to *bet* will happen. This can lead to divergences, especially when considering the potential for strategic behavior or hidden information. For example, if polls suggest a low probability of a specific post, but there’s significant volume on Polymarket indicating traders believe it’s more likely, this market provides a valuable alternative signal. It’s important to remember that neither polls nor prediction markets are perfect predictors, but they offer complementary insights.