TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)
polymarket

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

Volume:
$12,034

Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

 - Polymarket

Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Israel

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gold / Golden

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crime

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barack Hussein Obama

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CBS

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Knicks

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.3¢
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ted / Cruz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NATO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Football

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spencer / Pratt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Russia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Pope

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ballroom

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

China

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CIA / C.I.A.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Soccer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uranium

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wall Street

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cuba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scam

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sleepy Joe Biden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14) event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?, alongside 24-hour volume metrics and historical price movements. Users can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges throughout the week, providing a live snapshot of market sentiment on whether this specific post will appear on Trump's Truth Social account during the June 9–14 window.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets and differ fundamentally from traditional polling. While polls measure stated intent or opinion at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate the collective financial commitment of traders who profit only if their forecast proves correct. For this event, the market's assessment of Trump's posting behavior is driven by trader conviction rather than survey responses, making it a forward-looking indicator of actual outcomes rather than a snapshot of public sentiment or expert predictions.

The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Trump posts the specified content on Truth Social during the June 9–14 window. Traders should monitor his account closely as the week progresses, since the outcome hinges on actual posts made within this narrow timeframe. Once the resolution date arrives, the market settles based on verified evidence of whether the post occurred, and winning positions are paid out accordingly.

Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Breaking news involving Israel or Middle East developments may increase the likelihood Trump addresses the topic on Truth Social. His daily posting patterns and recent content themes offer clues about what he may discuss. Major political announcements or statements from allies could prompt a response. Additionally, any public remarks Trump makes offline about Israel may signal an imminent post. Traders monitor his account activity in real time, so each new post or statement can trigger immediate repricing of the market as the week unfolds.