TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Trump post this week? (June 23 - 28)
polymarket

Will Trump post this week (June 23-28)?

Volume:
$447,406

UFC

 - Polymarket

UFC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

UFC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$443,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dana / White

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Russia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
12¢
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

China

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Soccer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uranium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Football

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wall Street

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gold / Golden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Knicks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Israel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pope

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

The Trump social media activity market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading volume for predictions about what the former president will post on Truth Social during a specific week. The dashboard displays current market prices, 24-hour trading activity of $3,154, and historical price movements as traders update their forecasts. This gives you a live snapshot of how the prediction community expects Trump's social media behavior to unfold, with granular data on individual post topics and likelihood estimates updated continuously as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money incentives, making them distinct from traditional analyst forecasts or polling. Traders in this market are financially motivated to price outcomes accurately, which often produces sharper probability estimates than consensus commentary. While political analysts and media observers may offer qualitative predictions about Trump's social media habits, this market aggregates dispersed knowledge from thousands of participants betting their own capital. The resulting odds tend to update faster than published analyst reports when new developments occur.

This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the week concludes and Trump's actual social media activity can be verified. The outcome is determined by examining his Truth Social posts during the specified period and confirming whether predicted topics or statements appeared, verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly forecast his posting behavior earn a return on their positions, while incorrect predictions result in losses. Resolution is final once the event window closes and all relevant posts are documented.

Major political news, legal developments, or breaking stories involving Trump could significantly shift odds, as traders reassess the likelihood he will address those topics on Truth Social. Market-moving events might include court rulings, campaign announcements, or statements from other political figures that typically prompt his response. Additionally, Trump's own recent posting patterns and the topics he has emphasized in prior weeks serve as strong indicators of future activity. Real-time social media monitoring and news flow are key drivers of price movement in this market.