TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Trump post this week? (July 27 - August 2)
polymarket
kalshi

What will Trump post this week?

Volume:
$86,731

1-2 AM

 - Kalshi

1-2 AM - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 2:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1-2 AM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,155
N/A
N/A
$14,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5-6 AM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,819
N/A
N/A
$4,384
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lindsey / Graham

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

China

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Communist

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Israel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

World Cup

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rigged

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gold / Golden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4-5 AM

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,685
N/A
N/A
$3,029
Settled
No
kalshi

2-3 AM

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,638
N/A
N/A
$3,846
Settled
No
kalshi

3-4 AM

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,698
N/A
N/A
$2,936
Settled
No
polymarket

Uranium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pope

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Russia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

President Xi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Football

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wall Street

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This event group tracks whether Donald Trump will post specific terms or phrases on his verified Truth Social account @realDonaldTrump during the week of July 27 to August 2, 2026. The markets cover a range of political, economic, and international topics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same core criteria: posts from @realDonaldTrump's verified Truth Social account during the specified dates, with consistent rules for qualifying text content.Primary resolution logic: Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account @realDonaldTrump

Core resolution logic:

  • A post qualifies if the exact term (with allowed variations in plural/possessive forms and capitalization) appears in the main text of a post
  • Quoted or reposted content only counts if the term appears within the quoted text itself
  • Text within images/memes qualifies only if the term is spelled out clearly and in full
  • Misspellings, compound words (except when the term forms part of a compound), and extraneous symbols disqualify the term

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Quoted Text: If Trump quotes another user's post that contains the term, it counts only if the term appears in the quoted portion of his post
  • Image Text: Text posted as part of an image or meme qualifies only if the term is spelled out clearly using individual letters/characters
  • Compound Words: Terms like 'Scam' in 'Scamartist' count, but terms like 'joy' in 'killjoy' do not count
Timing: All markets resolve after August 2, 2026, once Trump's Truth Social activity for the week has been fully recordedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Kalshi

The event evaluates Donald Trump’s Truth Social posting behavior across five consecutive hourly intervals from 1:00 AM to 5:59 AM ET, each day from July 26 to August 1, 2026. If any post—whether remaining or later deleted—occurs during any of these specified windows, the outcome resolves positively. Each hour-long period runs inclusive of the start time up to, but not including, the next hour (e.g., 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM). The resolution depends solely on the presence of at least one post within any of the monitored hours across the entire week, with no requirement for consistency or frequency beyond a single qualifying event.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Trump weekly posts market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time odds and volume. It displays how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of specific actions by the former president during the defined period. The view consolidates data to reflect a consensus outlook, with metrics such as total volume of $86,731 and 24-hour volume of $6,543 helping users gauge market interest and uncertainty.