TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Politics
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
polymarket

What will Trump post this week?

Volume:
$13,002

Communist / Communism

 - Polymarket

Communist / Communism - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 2:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Communist / Communism

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
12.9¢
N/A
$2,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Investigation

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

China

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Israel

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Russia

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Crime

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Allah

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scam

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uranium

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Trump social media market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for whether Donald Trump will post specific content within the defined timeframe. You can view the current top outcome, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume of $1,717. This single-venue view shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of various posts, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment without any cross-platform aggregation.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will look to official social media channels and reputable news coverage to determine whether the specified post was made during the week in question. The market settles based on public, observable evidence rather than internal assessments or predictions.

Several signals could shift the odds in this market before it settles. Major news events, political announcements, or Trump’s own recent posting patterns may influence trader sentiment. For example, if Trump hints at addressing a particular issue on his social media, the market might price in a higher probability of a related post. Conversely, technical issues or platform outages could temporarily suppress activity, causing price fluctuations. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of Trump posting specific content has the potential to move this market.